TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e31…5e8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
281
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT13450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 134 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Magdalena Frechbacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Stearns (+1.5)backed Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$167.95
Mauthausen: Matthew William Donald vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.26
Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweenybacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$182.82
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Maneiro (+1.5)backed Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.3
Madrid Open: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$37.05
Tallahassee: Saba Purtseladze vs Tyler Zinkbacked Tyler Zink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$57.19
Santa Cruz: Valerio Aboian vs Thiago Cigarranbacked Valerio Aboian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$13.67
Tallahassee: Duje Ajdukovic vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Duje Ajdukovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.35
BMW Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.78
BMW Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.21
Barcelona Open: Jaume Munar vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$22.61
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.31
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefan Kozlovbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$48
Mexico City: Matias Soto vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$75.72
Sarasota: Andres Andrade vs Tyler Zinkbacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.83
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Luciano Darderibacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.24
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.4
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.51
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.69
Credit One Charleston Open: Peyton Stearns vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.18
Barletta: Nerman Fatic vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.35
Miyazaki: Yuto Oki vs Andre Ilaganbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
Set Handicap: Altmaier (-1.5) vs Martinez (+1.5)backed Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.14
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Pedro Martinezbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$31.05
Showing 25 of 134 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT11748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 117 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.84
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$26.16
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.47
Spread: Magic (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.46
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$43.89
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.89
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.35
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$21.94
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.44
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.76
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.38
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$22.44
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$21.76
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.34
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.32
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.5
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$29.33
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$37.48
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.36
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.62
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$44.89
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.01
Showing 25 of 117 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$58.54
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.94
California Golden Bears vs. Florida State Seminoles: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Marist Red Foxes vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 130.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27.57
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Mercyhurst Lakersbacked Mercyhurst Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$17.84
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Alcorn State Bravesbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$35.22
Richmond Spiders vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblersbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50.09
Yale Bulldogs vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+163.2%+$50.71
New Orleans Privateers vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked New Orleans Privateers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$22.46
Akron Zips vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+127.3%+$16.23
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$35.2
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+138.1%+$140.77
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Montana Grizzliesbacked Eastern Washington Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+224.5%+$26.94
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.75
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$61.31
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.35
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$46.71
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.06
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$42.19
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.03
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.31
Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$32.26
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$40.41
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.37
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$109.06
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$19.42
All 13 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.39
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Tianjin Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.