MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b33248a8937f3d4e4dbe6e61dee3afc37d972749fcf3fe4d7bbd243a4079565
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Colorado Rockies, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,238 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e84…8f7bbacked Colorado Rockies | 1c | 1,926$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 1,083$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 1,060$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.85 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 353$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.69 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago White Sox | 77c | 323.58$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 300.08$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.08 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 182.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.53 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 178.35$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Chicago White Sox | 68c | 113.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 112.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 101.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.