TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe292…a29d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
210
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT6642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.61
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.8
Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$206.92
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$157.54
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+270.4%+$128.43
Spread: Magic (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$376.01
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$600.85
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$55
1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Spread: Hornets (-11.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$141.23
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$335.88
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.37
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$75.93
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$245.6
Will Devin Booker win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$307.05
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+70.8%+$147.95
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$43
1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$543.78
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT3855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Furman Paladins vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneersbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.05
Alcorn State Braves vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Alabama State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.46
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Texas Southern Tigers (W)backed Texas Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.22
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$333.38
Butler Bulldogs vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+70.9%+$115.3
The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Chattanooga Mocsbacked Chattanooga Mocs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$85.61
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs. Winthrop Eaglesbacked Winthrop Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+49.2%+$82.18
Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown Hoyas (W)backed Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Drake Bulldogs vs. Southern Illinois Salukisbacked Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$293.79
Clemson Tigers vs. Virginia Cavaliers (W)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+138.5%+$229.29
North Alabama Lions vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$170.86
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knightsbacked Bellarmine Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$115.55
Stanford Cardinal vs. Miami Hurricanes (W)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+150.4%+$261.84
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-13.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$192.01
American Eagles vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.1%+$89.13
Pepperdine Waves vs. Portland Pilotsbacked Portland Pilots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$234.25
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. UT Martin Skyhawksbacked UT Martin Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$183
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-2.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$232.25
Illinois State Redbirds vs. UIC Flamesbacked Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Iona Gaels vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsbacked Manhattan Jaspers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$32.55
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Wichita State Shockersbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40.44
Florida State Seminoles vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$545.78
Mercer Bears vs. The Citadel Bulldogsbacked Mercer Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+32.2%+$145.59
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+37.9%+$98.74
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Reilly Opelkabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$96.47
BNP Paribas Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$106.4
Hersonissos: Ioannis Xilas vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Ioannis Xilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$339.97
Kigali: Filip Jianu vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.9%+$66.76
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Buse (+1.5)backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$101.87
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Ealabacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$610.58
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Belinda Bencic vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$176.4
Lille: Arthur Bouquier vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Bouquier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+31.7%+$40.02
Pau: Raphael Collignon vs Luca Van Asschebacked Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$106.5
Argentina Open: Ignacio Buse vs Sebastian Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+39.7%+$159.14
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Sakkari (+1.5)backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$300.41
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5)backed Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$177
Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$184.8
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Quentin Halysbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+61.3%+$79.68
Dallas Open: Tommy Paul vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$143.33
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Rinderknech (+1.5)backed Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$66.18
Set Handicap: Sakkari (-1.5) vs Gracheva (+1.5)backed Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+102.5%+$76.88
Argentina Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Wang (+1.5)backed Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+48.5%+$48.47
Set Handicap: Griekspoor (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5)backed Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+135.5%+$132.79
Adelaide International: Daria Kasatkina vs Maria Sakkaribacked Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$352.64
Sasnovich vs. Efremova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+33.3%+$110.27
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Voca (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.89
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.21
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$107.82
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$446.11
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$280.3
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+37.3%+$162.03
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+76.6%+$391.44
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$173.74
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs QUAZAR (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group Cbacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200.22
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45.03
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30.47
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs TYLOO (BO3) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battle Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+55.1%+$12.12
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+44.4%+$15.08
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Washington (BO3)backed Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18.45
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-56.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$256.57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$149.48
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$118.72
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200.56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$698.87
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.09
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$184.2
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.82
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Abacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$30.21
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Valinor - Game 1 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+117.4%+$70.43
All 8 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+147.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.79
Spread: Rams (-14.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$116.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$257.14
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$232.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+59%+$62.86
SHL: Leksands IF vs. Luleaabacked Luleaa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$152
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$571.68
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$268
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$347.55
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$218.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+334.8%+$165.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$38.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+32%+$17.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$257.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.