TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Rams (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Rams, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$222,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,843 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Panthers42c45,337$19,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,322.012528%7 W · 18 L-6.3wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-46.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Panthers43c32,892$14,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,792.6112055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rams53c26,372$14,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,021.4673651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Rams58c15,000$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,699.9916955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Rams56c13,691$7,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,678.0312748%61 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…530abacked Panthers64c10,555$6,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,758.211145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Rams53c9,139$4,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,861.74261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rams52c9,118$4,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,740.5660049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x061e…fdffbacked Rams60c8,366$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Rams60c8,032$4,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,804.092045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Rams57c7,410$4,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,217.4219651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Rams58c6,689$3,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,879.565042%21 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Rams38c5,961$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.483522.9%8 W · 27 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-50.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Panthers50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5008747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Panthers50c4,506$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.9210648.1%51 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Panthers62c4,500$2,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.978551.8%44 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Panthers62c3,379$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.0253348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Panthers50c3,331$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.6631543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked Panthers40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8001747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Rams39c2,760$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rams51c2,635$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.4883147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9201…e578backed Rams52c2,518$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.453053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Rams56c2,093$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.061573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Panthers50c1,707$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.511139.6%44 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Rams62c1,614$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005939%23 W · 36 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Rams39c1,543$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002755.6%15 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Rams39c1,371$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.52850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+93.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Rams39c1,289$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ee…78cfbacked Panthers41c1,216$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.621154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+60.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Panthers41c1,159$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.2220757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Panthers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.1955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Panthers64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36018650.5%94 W · 92 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Panthers43c999.99$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5683141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Rams53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Panthers61c937.29$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.5477052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed Panthers60c861.47$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.474153.7%22 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Panthers48c833.21$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.9750242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rams39c810$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.3847348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Rams47c617$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5732043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Rams50c589.15$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.7714844.6%66 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked Rams51c589.01$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.522955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Panthers65c564.78$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8964747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc69d…1262backed Panthers61c555$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.454131.7%13 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-26%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ea7…657ebacked Rams52c535$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Panthers62c485$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.33033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Panthers67c452$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4614763.9%94 W · 53 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70f0…70aabacked Panthers65c421.29$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.182263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Rams35c412.34$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0865048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Rams56c387.93$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.895248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rams50c320.02$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5436341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe292…a29dbacked Rams40c291.38$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x884c…851fbacked Panthers42c289.12$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.441526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Rams50c275.87$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.471957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf347…131abacked Panthers41c267.93$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.82450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rams50c238.34$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2814952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Panthers39c218.75$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1712447.6%59 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0a4…ca01backed Panthers65c215.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.381947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0203…270dbacked Panthers49c204.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.93438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe589…09a3backed Panthers66c202.83$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.86650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6564…8846backed Panthers51c197.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.054158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Rams52c192$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.841747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Rams53c184.94$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8835648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53be…8b7fbacked Rams54c152.76$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Panthers63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.527835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Panthers64c131$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.162356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2af…28c3backed Panthers59c130$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.44854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Rams37c121$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.778164.2%52 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+137.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Panthers63c118$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6619954.8%109 W · 90 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Rams57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010858.3%63 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x575b…14f0backed Panthers49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.044946.9%23 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9386…cfe5backed Rams39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Panthers61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3931540.6%128 W · 187 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rams35c97.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1516349.7%81 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Rams57c95$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547164.8%46 W · 25 L+10.7wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7820…60a9backed Panthers59c88$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf05e…180bbacked Panthers49c84.96$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Panthers64c80.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1619240.1%77 W · 115 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Rams35c78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.312954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf9d…3ea9backed Panthers65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9226660.9%162 W · 104 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f01…cbc2backed Panthers66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761566.7%10 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+69%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Rams57c71.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.853548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a47…f5efbacked Rams39c71.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Panthers60c68.08$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2316045%72 W · 88 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Rams37c67.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511547%54 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a8…642bbacked Panthers74c67.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.32771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Panthers49c65.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.643860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a67…0355backed Rams43c65.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.79757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Panthers52c60.79$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.231877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+27.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f38…4ddbbacked Panthers65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Rams52c52.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.393246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Rams51c49.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.162634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8a7f…e1edbacked Panthers45c43.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Panthers42c42.13$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.447841%32 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…fc7abacked Panthers64c42.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.154551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed1…efcbbacked Panthers63c41.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.521844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7f…0a55backed Panthers62c40.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.511656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2696…c031backed Panthers62c40.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.315552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rams48c40.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1534247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Rams37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.83647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x843c…cfaebacked Panthers64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.061553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.