NFL · resolved market
Rams vs. Panthers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5da0c76bff3df58941c4fd292a64568106118264317fbc08fa98f9ca34168abb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ramsof Rams, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rams | 72c | 2,049$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.72 | 143 | 66.4%95 W · 48 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panthers | 28c | 1,517$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.76 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Rams | 73c | 1,085$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.95 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Panthers | 27c | 815$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.05 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Panthers | 27c | 410$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Panthers | 27c | 409.81$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.65 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…ff66backed Rams | 73c | 408.44$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Panthers | 28c | 290$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Rams | 73c | 191$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Panthers | 27c | 191$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Panthers | 26c | 158.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf746…320fbacked Rams | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Rams | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Panthers | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb3…05e5backed Panthers | 28c | 71.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Rams | 73c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Rams | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b19…8c26backed Rams | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Panthers | 24c | 49.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…94b3backed Rams | 76c | 40.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…2a19backed Rams | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…5285backed Rams | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…d87ebacked Rams | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.34per pick | 45cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rams vs. Panthers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Rams (-5.5)Panthers won
- Rams vs. PanthersRams won
- Rams vs. Panthers: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5Over won
- Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5Over won
- Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 47.5Over won
- Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 49.5Over won
- Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Rams (-10.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Rams (-11.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Rams (-14.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Rams (-6.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Rams (-7.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.