TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b29…8373

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
518
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20933.5%70 W · 139 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 209 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$200
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$186.93
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$132.45
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Roman Dolidze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.87
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.14
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)backed MarQuel Mederos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$370
UFC Fight Night: Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Jeisla Chaves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.99
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$21
UFC Fight Night: Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Ryan Kuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.71
Dana White's Contender Series: Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Perez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Logan Paxton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$6.05
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.52
Will Kauê Fernandes win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$5
Will Esteban Ribovics win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.57
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.5
Will Donte Johnson win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.43
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.66
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$101.38
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bruno Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$751Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$750.88
UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Ravena Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.65
Showing 25 of 209 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT12842.2%54 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 128 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Cardinalsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+104%+$141.12
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$58.62
No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.43
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.5%+$322
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+154.7%+$72.85
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100.24
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 25.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25.48
1H Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$868Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+129.4%+$1,123.29
Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H Moneylinebacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$288.6
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+79.6%+$8.94
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.81
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$123.11
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$616.47
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$211.7
1H Spread: Seahawks (-0.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H Moneylinebacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$302.4
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$188.77
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$110.49
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$353.28
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$225.26
Texans vs. Patriots: 1H Moneylinebacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,571Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,571.33
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$88.55
49ers vs. Seahawks: 1H Moneylinebacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$356.38
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100.81
Showing 25 of 128 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT5646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+50.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+283.6%+$308.3
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+555.2%+$1,167.2
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.21
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$635.46
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+274.5%+$163.45
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.72
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.8
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,040
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.09
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+169.8%+$112.48
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$69.07
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,579Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$2,255.55
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$100.8
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$486.85
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.57
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$299
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.16
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.2
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.58
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.55
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.56
Magic vs. Pistons: 1H Moneylinebacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.52
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT5529.1%16 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.35
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$314.5
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.97
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.6
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.36
Will The Alabama Solution win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.59
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$69.44
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.95
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$37.84
Will Sinners win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.08
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.89
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.77
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.54
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$104.83
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.19
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$678.83
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.51
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.13
Will A Friend of Dorothy win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.26
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+378.7%+$999.88
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$652.06
Miami vs. Indiana: 1H Moneylinebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$899.36
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$47.17
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
Ole Miss vs. Georgia: 1H Moneylinebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Connecticut vs. Armybacked Connecticut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$411.4
James Madison vs. Oregonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.28
Tulane vs. Ole Miss: 1H Moneylinebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$87.34
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+127.3%+$142.8
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+127.3%+$112
Spread: Oklahoma (-1.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$156
Army vs. Navybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$217.92
Army vs. Navy: 1H Moneylinebacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+175.8%+$29.41
Navy vs. Memphis: 1H Moneylinebacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$63.64
TCU vs. Houstonbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+78.5%+$206.21
Missouri vs. Oklahoma: 1H Moneylinebacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40.59
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
All 18 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-44.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zuffa Boxing 6: Rodriguez vs. Katzourakis (Middleweight, Main)backed Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.89
Zuffa Boxing 6: Monny vs. Mahmutovic (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Mahmutovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$503.54
The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatanibacked Nakatani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.4
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudovbacked Makhmudov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.14
Zuffa Boxing 4: Opetaia vs. Glanton (Cruiserweight, Main)backed Glanton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.04
Zuffa Boxing 4: Panin vs. Bunch (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Panin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$212.41
Zuffa Boxing 4: Juarez vs. Anderson (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Anderson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.74
Zuffa Boxing 4: Palma vs. Jr. (Featherweight, Main)backed Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,290Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$2,918.06
Zuffa Boxing 4: Salas vs. Saracho (Welterweight, Main)backed Saracho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.91
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$52.5
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$96.28
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$778.32
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$31.08
Who will win Anderson Silva vs Tyron Woodley?backed Woodley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$24.04
Who will win Jahmal Harvey vs Kevin Cervantes?backed Harvey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Jake Paul win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+64.1%+$269.28
Artur Beterbiev vs. Dmitry Bivolbacked Beterbiev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,224Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$2,224.05
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+53.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$16.28
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+420.4%+$4,808.61
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$536.64
Will Michigan State win the South region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$251.09
Will Houston win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$73.29
Will Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.33
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$164
Will Texas Tech win the West region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
Will a #1 seed lose in the first round of NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.98
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-43.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+75.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Karolina Muchova vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.72
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$2,080
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$279.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.