Music · resolved market
Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8f6d67870fe6562a45b419587bce08cd761a3fa171e7d932c6c5f71857a05e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 710 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 40c | 7,515$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 46c | 5,749$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.12 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 52c | 4,875$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 45c | 4,311$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.47 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked No | 48c | 3,408$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 34cpaid | +222.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 55c | 2,927$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.3 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3b72backed No | 48c | 2,854$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…f55ebacked Yes | 52c | 2,854$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…1d2abacked Yes | 49c | 2,597$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 49c | 2,487$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 62c | 2,450$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.94 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…8847backed Yes | 54c | 2,299$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 56c | 2,272$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.38 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe858…8573backed Yes | 43c | 2,210$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked No | 56c | 2,154$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.94 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Yes | 51c | 1,936$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…4325backed Yes | 48c | 1,584$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,500$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb645…4845backed No | 48c | 1,384$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…f63dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,384$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 41c | 1,199$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.65 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb3…e5cdbacked Yes | 52c | 1,163$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 52c | 1,132$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.26 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 53c | 1,111$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 1,095$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.44 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 42c | 1,072$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.82 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f6…d327backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b9…b99fbacked No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…cbb2backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…7786backed No | 60c | 999$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1108…1d41backed Yes | 40c | 999$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7892…a570backed Yes | 42c | 949.97$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa247…8678backed Yes | 53c | 930$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…6710backed No | 47c | 930$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…8897backed No | 47c | 930$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…0c9bbacked Yes | 53c | 930$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed No | 73c | 899.99$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 43c | 850.99$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.66 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Yes | 60c | 840$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 57c | 756.03$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.23 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 71c | 741.84$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.38 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 46c | 739.34$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.72 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e16…ce1ebacked Yes | 52c | 686.37$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…0dc6backed No | 48c | 686.37$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 48c | 666$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed Yes | 42c | 650$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 47c | 628.86$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.55 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 49c | 605$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Yes | 52c | 600$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +255.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked No | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 47c | 599.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 45c | 538.72$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.52 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 57c | 523.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 45c | 522.14$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.16 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 50c | 500.77$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.84 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…2af6backed Yes | 51c | 500$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…481ebacked Yes | 51c | 491.32$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 48c | 486.08$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.35 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 40c | 479.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…6352backed Yes | 47c | 461.83$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 45c | 433.11$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.21 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 47c | 430.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.47 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 51c | 397.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.81 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…57fabacked Yes | 42c | 396.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef0…a56ebacked Yes | 58c | 392.26$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b8…131cbacked Yes | 57c | 360.22$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 48c | 351.37$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.14 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeac4…7599backed Yes | 51c | 350.13$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e1…1282backed Yes | 57c | 347.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 36c | 342$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d00…d499backed Yes | 35c | 339.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 51c | 314.8$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.81 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…78fcbacked No | 59c | 296.74$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 27cpaid | +269.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd064…4c6dbacked Yes | 36c | 280.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 49c | 278.87$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 45c | 277.55$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb9…3776backed No | 59c | 256.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8a…36babacked Yes | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 50c | 248.08$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dd…47ccbacked Yes | 52c | 247.35$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 41c | 238.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…a3f4backed No | 50c | 211.38$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…0b9abacked Yes | 43c | 207.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…943dbacked No | 53c | 203.24$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed No | 44c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +184.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d6…9ab8backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b4…d32ebacked Yes | 51c | 197.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b69…cf45backed Yes | 53c | 196.62$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…f235backed No | 56c | 195$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x766f…3b09backed No | 50c | 194.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c6…c711backed Yes | 51c | 192.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…ed85backed Yes | 38c | 192.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb01…665abacked Yes | 39c | 191.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9219backed Yes | 54c | 190.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8237…be01backed Yes | 50c | 190.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed Yes | 32c | 190$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514f…7bb7backed Yes | 53c | 186.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?this page
- Will 'BRAT' win Album of the Year?No won
- Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year?Yes won
- Will 'Djesse Vol. 4' win Album of the Year?No won
- Will 'New Blue Sun' win Album of the Year?No won
- Will 'Short n' Sweet' win Album of the Year?No won
- Will 'The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess' win Album of the Year?No won
- Will 'The Tortured Poets Department' win Album of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.