TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfaa2…93cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
492
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT24844%109 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 248 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yankees vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$238.55
Pirates vs. Rockiesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$494.26
Royals vs. Blue Jaysbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Dodgers vs. Raysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Braves vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$188.6
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Rangers vs. Raysbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$499.52
Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$206
Mets vs. Dodgersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$684.48
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Angels vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Astros vs. Piratesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$305.56
White Sox vs. Oriolesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$450.2
Cardinals vs. Rangersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$900
Twins vs. Marinersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$405.02
Angels vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+195.2%+$780.76
Rays vs. Astrosbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$275.21
Brewers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
White Sox vs. Oriolesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Giants vs. Marlinsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$330
Tigers vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+144.6%+$361.39
Showing 25 of 248 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT8434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+150%+$375
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+674.1%+$808.88
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$962Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$962.47
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$1,112.9
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+79.3%+$396.44
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,426Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+124.4%+$3,017.2
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$626.63
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$490.13
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,879Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+100.2%+$1,883.59
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,963
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+346.6%+$866.49
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Wizards vs. Heatbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+79.3%+$792.86
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$617.75
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$514
Raptors vs. Mavericksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Wizards vs. Bullsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT7634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+87.6%+$442.22
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$330
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$405.31
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,939Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,938.6
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$1,842.86
Devils vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$497.25
Blackhawks vs. Senatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+102.5%+$307.57
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,100.42
Utah vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,013.19
Blackhawks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$574.72
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$998.88
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,992
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$23.45
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,024
Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+130.6%+$1,305.68
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$990
Flyers vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$212.96
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+140.5%+$702.38
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$375
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$88.02
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT4035%14 W · 26 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,067Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+93.3%+$5,658.17
Houston vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,002
March Madness: Will 4 teams seeded #1 make the Final 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+926.1%+$6,656.09
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Oregon vs. Arizonabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,174.41
Colorado State vs. Marylandbacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$900
Liberty vs. Oregonbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.9
Xavier vs. Illinoisbacked Xavier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Oklahoma vs. UConnbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
New Mexico vs. Marquettebacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Grand Canyon vs. Marylandbacked Grand Canyon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.13
North Carolina vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$117.17
Vanderbilt vs. St. Mary'sbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.09
Colorado State vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Baylor vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Drake vs. Missouribacked Drake · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+203%+$203.03
Yale vs. Texas A&Mbacked Yale · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Arkansas vs. Kansasbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Georgia vs. Gonzagabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
VCU vs. BYUbacked VCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.32
McNeese State vs. Clemsonbacked McNeese State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$322.81
Montana vs. Wisconsinbacked Montana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
High Point vs. Purduebacked High Point · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Creighton vs. Louisvillebacked Creighton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+150%+$150
Northern Iowa vs. SMUbacked Northern Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Jerome Powell say "Cut" 7 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$17.53
Will Jerome Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+52.3%+$52.27
Will Jerome Powell say "Soft landing" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Jerome Powell say "China" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Will Jerome Powell say "Growth" 8 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+76.6%+$15.31
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 60 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$68.04
Will Jerome Powell say "Unemployment" 8 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Jerome Powell say "Tightening" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Jerome Powell say "Recession" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Jerome Powell say "Price" 15 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$10.69
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 10 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.75
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 5 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.78
Will Jerome Powell say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$154.34
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2024, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10,202Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$11,052.16
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,065.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+440.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+440.5%+$814.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+51.6%+$412.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$333.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$504
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2024 July hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$269.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.