UFC · resolved market
Lemos vs. Lucindo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x807beb0cbb3dad68e3f354931d94bade194706580627d7fd56d94c3ac0187294
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lemosof Lemos, Lucindo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lucindo | 56c | 44,981$25,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,398.24 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…55a1backed Lemos | 58c | 30,229$17,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,747.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Lemos | 42c | 23,759$10,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,672.55 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Lemos | 43c | 15,408$6,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,782.28 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Lemos | 44c | 12,917$5,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,273.27 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Lemos | 45c | 6,500$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Lucindo | 58c | 5,906$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,403.27 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Lemos | 42c | 5,561$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Lemos | 44c | 5,229$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…3399backed Lucindo | 57c | 4,265$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Lucindo | 28c | 4,134$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Lucindo | 27c | 4,069$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.31 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Lucindo | 57c | 3,628$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.68 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Lucindo | 58c | 3,462$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Lucindo | 58c | 3,114$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.64 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lemos | 41c | 3,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.99 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Lemos | 44c | 2,748$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.41 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5642…e859backed Lucindo | 59c | 2,354$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lemos | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Lemos | 43c | 1,800$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…0175backed Lucindo | 57c | 1,756$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Lucindo | 17c | 1,590$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Lucindo | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lemos | 41c | 1,274$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.66 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Lucindo | 58c | 1,266$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.08 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Lucindo | 8c | 1,217$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Lucindo | 50c | 1,182$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lucindo | 59c | 1,100$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Lucindo | 61c | 1,073$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Lucindo | 59c | 1,055$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Lemos | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Lucindo | 59c | 940.68$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…dcc6backed Lemos | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Lucindo | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Lucindo | 29c | 740$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…f49ebacked Lucindo | 60c | 700$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Lemos | 43c | 697.51$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.46 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Lemos | 41c | 692$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.28 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Lucindo | 58c | 689.87$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.05 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Lucindo | 57c | 686.16$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Lemos | 42c | 671.78$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.69 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb849…7b64backed Lucindo | 21c | 635.25$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Lucindo | 32c | 613.41$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.29 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Lemos | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Lucindo | 59c | 599.99$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.99 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lucindo | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Lemos | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Lucindo | 60c | 499$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.4 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Lucindo | 20c | 490.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lemos | 44c | 455.94$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.33 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Lemos | 44c | 442.5$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.8 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lucindo | 5c | 400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Lemos | 42c | 397.7$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.67 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Lemos | 56c | 383.88$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.38 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Lucindo | 57c | 378.57$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lemos | 44c | 370$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.2 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Lucindo | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Lucindo | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Lucindo | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Lucindo | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…9f1abacked Lucindo | 49c | 311$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Lemos | 43c | 309.69$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.06 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…18dabacked Lucindo | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Lemos | 44c | 281.49$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.9 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…6c31backed Lucindo | 60c | 272.37$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Lemos | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Lemos | 42c | 249.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…39d3backed Lemos | 42c | 239$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Lucindo | 56c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Lucindo | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba0…b494backed Lucindo | 59c | 190.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Lucindo | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Lucindo | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e2…2f3ebacked Lucindo | 59c | 161.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9458…37e9backed Lemos | 43c | 153$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80fd…3fcdbacked Lucindo | 57c | 153$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3137…3146backed Lucindo | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…9d4dbacked Lemos | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0e…6fb0backed Lucindo | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48dc…541abacked Lemos | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Lemos | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Lemos | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…3359backed Lemos | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lemos | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…a5fabacked Lucindo | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed Lemos | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…a2a0backed Lemos | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…21c1backed Lucindo | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…f95ebacked Lemos | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Lemos | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Lucindo | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Lucindo | 58c | 87.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb521…0bd9backed Lucindo | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26df…f747backed Lucindo | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a8…efacbacked Lemos | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Lemos | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…e126backed Lucindo | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Lemos | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…f90fbacked Lucindo | 59c | 78.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Lucindo | 58c | 76.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lemos vs. Lucindothis page
- Alex Morono vs. Carlos LealLeal won
- Brunno Ferreira vs. Armen PetrosyanFerreira won
- Djorden Santos vs. Ozzy DiazDiaz won
- Gaethje vs. FizievGaethje won
- Green vs. RuffyRuffy won
- Joshua Van vs. Rei TsuruyaVan won
- Mairon Santos vs. Francis MarshallSantos won
- Pereira vs. AnkalaevAnkalaev won
- Turner vs. BahamondesBahamondes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.