TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1467…f95e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Boxing, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 53 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT5347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$100.77
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Lone'er Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.83
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jeremy Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.65
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.43
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.61
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jared Gordon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Roman Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$57.11
UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Djorden Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$139.88
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$67.06
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Randy Brown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.91
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$190.91
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$40.63
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.32
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$22.39
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.04
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$466.08
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Norway vs. England: Team to Take First Cornerbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$106.05
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$91.94
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Morocco: Team to Take First Cornerbacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$72.06
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Take First Cornerbacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: T1 vs. Nongshim Red Forcebacked Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. FunPlus Phoenixbacked FunPlus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+403%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+403%+$201.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.