Us Politics · resolved market
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef8cf8b45ef7e3a607a72b6e1d56bede869fdd81795b63db847de1090bf11c41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,653,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,937,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,653,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,531 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x716f…9798backed No | 1c | 4,395,965$58,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,158.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…c71cbacked No | 1c | 2,570,986$14,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,585.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…06edbacked No | 1c | 2,068,878$29,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,983.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x627a…cdc2backed No | 1c | 2,008,184$11,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,467.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef52…cd4bbacked No | 1c | 1,831,987$9,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,935.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…9a7ebacked No | 1c | 1,516,840$13,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,847.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcaa…113fbacked No | 1c | 1,502,387$8,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,961 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b8…5baebacked No | 1c | 1,483,949$15,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,287.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…65bebacked No | 1c | 1,318,437$12,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,097.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x638d…7436backed No | 1c | 1,166,754$9,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,334.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff01…73ccbacked No | 0c | 1,015,204$4,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…9facbacked No | 0c | 997,705$3,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,964.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…0741backed No | 1c | 937,861$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…d5d3backed No | 1c | 932,701$8,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,690.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebc…ad77backed No | 0c | 891,323$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ed…4765backed No | 1c | 874,231$6,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,372.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7848…c9e2backed No | 2c | 834,903$16,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,559.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…222dbacked No | 1c | 812,242$11,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,739.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…1eebbacked No | 1c | 805,860$10,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,509.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…a126backed No | 1c | 791,331$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc2…ad05backed No | 1c | 777,607$5,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,585.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 4c | 744,026$28,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,824.27 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c0…8a61backed No | 1c | 728,035$9,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,112.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…61b3backed No | 1c | 714,157$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,939.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a7…2a61backed No | 1c | 706,916$6,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,015.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked No | 1c | 680,828$9,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,220.89 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 0c | 675,071$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.61 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd74b…924ebacked No | 3c | 669,824$20,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,605.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5627…d59cbacked No | 2c | 651,837$10,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,003.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 1c | 639,469$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,319.59 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…23f0backed No | 1c | 595,814$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,160.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcb…e907backed No | 1c | 535,580$7,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,423.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…04a9backed No | 1c | 532,098$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0e…93abbacked No | 0c | 518,657$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9895…469ebacked No | 1c | 518,039$3,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…a733backed No | 1c | 517,780$6,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,416.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…796bbacked No | 1c | 497,263$3,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…104bbacked No | 2c | 496,718$11,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,510.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374c…4e87backed No | 1c | 433,462$4,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,163.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53e…7bb3backed No | 1c | 431,048$6,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,035 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66dd…4f0bbacked No | 1c | 413,490$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…953abacked No | 0c | 411,656$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6270…9ce7backed No | 1c | 410,763$4,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,889.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c51…5eb6backed No | 1c | 410,247$4,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,904 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225a…0dc7backed No | 0c | 393,880$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed No | 0c | 373,387$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e7…aca0backed No | 0c | 368,849$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…0a5bbacked No | 1c | 363,930$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…2322backed No | 3c | 361,995$9,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,541.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ca…6072backed No | 1c | 356,229$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…daecbacked No | 2c | 340,300$5,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,104.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f2…e3a0backed No | 1c | 336,458$4,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,364.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fd…58d2backed No | 1c | 329,511$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…b61dbacked No | 0c | 327,338$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked No | 4c | 326,750$12,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,699.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe39…97d3backed No | 1c | 325,100$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…9491backed No | 2c | 322,005$6,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,365.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 69c | 317,835$219,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,072.56 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…3c96backed No | 0c | 317,441$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9afe…6f4fbacked No | 0c | 301,614$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…83a2backed No | 0c | 298,747$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…146bbacked No | 1c | 297,708$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…231bbacked No | 1c | 297,598$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…4265backed No | 1c | 280,131$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…cd8dbacked No | 5c | 264,097$13,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,568.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…e741backed No | 0c | 260,319$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…5fedbacked No | 1c | 259,761$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…e83fbacked Yes | 60c | 257,517$155,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,432.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…c6c1backed No | 1c | 253,551$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…aa40backed No | 1c | 249,996$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460f…bfb7backed No | 0c | 249,913$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…17c1backed No | 4c | 249,477$9,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,694.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…6082backed No | 2c | 246,883$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…0df5backed No | 1c | 246,325$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc644…1a21backed No | 1c | 245,824$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…8d0bbacked No | 2c | 244,558$4,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,603.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…f791backed No | 0c | 241,333$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef79…0f8abacked No | 1c | 240,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeba…6500backed No | 0c | 235,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0027…6e97backed No | 9c | 232,492$21,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,690.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3028…f098backed No | 1c | 232,023$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…ee7ebacked No | 0c | 231,826$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…df66backed No | 1c | 228,479$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…0d6abacked No | 2c | 227,227$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5483…cd6ebacked No | 1c | 226,834$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…7a4dbacked No | 0c | 224,167$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…1c5bbacked No | 2c | 224,084$3,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,930.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed No | 1c | 221,064$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.04 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e0…7534backed No | 1c | 219,159$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…5bd7backed No | 1c | 218,225$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbc…ed7cbacked No | 2c | 217,014$3,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,579.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…7920backed No | 5c | 209,156$9,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,931 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x343b…f8f4backed No | 0c | 207,000$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c8…e603backed No | 0c | 200,836$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…eee1backed No | 1c | 200,362$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778a…b405backed No | 3c | 200,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed No | 1c | 199,950$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…719ebacked No | 1c | 196,000$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x872c…5f34backed No | 1c | 192,681$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x680c…799bbacked No | 2c | 192,087$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.