Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x822abdeaa207351f8837bbfaca73a626aaa4b422902be0b1738cc1264ddfe5e2

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $309,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $388,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,971 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4247…91c4backed Yes	50c	107,320$53,809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,809.05	512	28.9%148 W · 364 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	79c	49,087$38,739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,348.89	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	78c	14,761$11,506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,255.09	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed No	62c	11,762$7,292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,469.56	44	70.5%31 W · 13 L	+10.8wins	+0.24per pick	46cpaid	+67.2%equal weight	67+0.16 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No	38c	10,902$4,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,745.02	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa852…5730backed No	36c	8,840$3,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,675.6	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	56c	8,540$4,767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,772.62	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed No	37c	7,219$2,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,530.05	101	37.6%38 W · 63 L	+14.5wins	+0.14per pick	23cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	30c	5,386$1,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,790.83	52	19.2%10 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes	19c	5,262$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	20c	4,967$1,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,008.24	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf590…98eabacked Yes	18c	4,277$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.8	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.16per pick	26cpaid	-83.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe974…f815backed Yes	18c	4,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…ccd0backed Yes	18c	3,767$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked No	37c	3,492$1,302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,189.7	76	30.3%23 W · 53 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes	20c	3,250$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	304	31.3%95 W · 209 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffe…86b5backed Yes	21c	2,101$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.11	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eac…6c20backed No	78c	2,076$1,619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$457.49	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+48%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed No	45c	2,046$921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,125.3	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	+18.5wins	+0.20per pick	28cpaid	+50.2%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0xbb8f…3ce9backed No	20c	1,500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+4.9wins	+0.20per pick	17cpaid	+115.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x64eb…6bcabacked No	20c	1,500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+5.5wins	+0.40per pick	18cpaid	+207.6%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe6f7…440fbacked No	20c	1,500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+4.9wins	+0.61per pick	14cpaid	+488.1%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7148…e85abacked No	20c	1,500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b3…dc76backed No	20c	1,500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+2.3wins	+0.13per pick	15cpaid	+65.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd342…4540backed No	20c	1,500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+4.6wins	+0.33per pick	17cpaid	+159.9%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Yes	18c	1,425$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	291	38.8%113 W · 178 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Yes	43c	1,411$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	197	44.2%87 W · 110 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…9565backed Yes	33c	1,358$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+3.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe18…3be4backed Yes	19c	1,316$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6783…401abacked Yes	19c	1,316$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.99	52	50%26 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Yes	17c	1,170$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes	18c	1,094$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.97	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ca…2443backed Yes	17c	1,013$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.17	350	41.1%144 W · 206 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02da…070dbacked No	20c	1,000$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+7.4wins	+0.33per pick	17cpaid	+389%equal weight	67+0.16 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed No	37c	920.08$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$577.97	87	31%27 W · 60 L	+7.4wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xff88…bcd5backed No	20c	900$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	15cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35ec…becbbacked No	20c	900$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d6…423dbacked No	20c	900$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69cf…6273backed No	20c	900$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	+5.0wins	+0.12per pick	15cpaid	+63.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77fe…9491backed Yes	18c	845.28$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.01	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes	31c	774.9$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.49	140	30%42 W · 98 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…b1b9backed Yes	27c	762.76$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	100	38%38 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8842…4f97backed Yes	21c	752.9$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6999…ae54backed Yes	22c	700$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	245	40.8%100 W · 145 L	+13.1wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaee9…0a38backed Yes	19c	630.21$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…5f4abacked Yes	17c	627.18$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.62	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+494.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked No	20c	600$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	104	20.2%21 W · 83 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes	17c	585$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	82	35.4%29 W · 53 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a4b…03d6backed Yes	18c	568.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	125	45.6%57 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f9…c1f1backed Yes	18c	555.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes	18c	553.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	111	62.2%69 W · 42 L	+16.7wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+27%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Yes	23c	535.88$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-76%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	20c	533.58$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.85	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd99…584dbacked Yes	19c	531.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	103	39.8%41 W · 62 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d3…b50abacked Yes	39c	512.82$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	48cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa661…af49backed No	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	19c	498$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.68	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c49…793bbacked Yes	20c	463.4$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.68	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+71.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	75c	423.26$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.85	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	62	29%18 W · 44 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5947…c7dcbacked Yes	22c	400$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	124	43.5%54 W · 70 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf24a…45b1backed Yes	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes	18c	390$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.2	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a9d…f5e7backed Yes	26c	384.7$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.23per pick	30cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0ebc…6bfdbacked No	80c	375.43$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.43	113	57.5%65 W · 48 L	-7.2wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	78c	359.69$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.13	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2911…98a7backed Yes	20c	350$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9aa…7857backed Yes	17c	343.71$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.43	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8525…46d6backed Yes	16c	342.48$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac5a…1ac8backed No	37c	328.06$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.12	82	31.7%26 W · 56 L	+8.1wins	+0.10per pick	22cpaid	+42%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe48…2ac2backed Yes	19c	322.25$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.59	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc362…3d85backed Yes	39c	320.97$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.68	51	35.3%18 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes	16c	314.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	200	36%72 W · 128 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea91…2a69backed No	80c	312.5$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.5	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	17c	311$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.09	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c84…f6fcbacked No	20c	300$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+12.3wins	+0.20per pick	16cpaid	+119.9%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5d86…9241backed Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	120	20.8%25 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-31%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe7c…7334backed Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff26…a5ddbacked Yes	43c	291.07$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.08	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07ce…db5cbacked Yes	27c	283.17$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.22	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8855…33dfbacked Yes	45c	277.16$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.72	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	71.9%23 W · 9 L	+5.1wins	+0.16per pick	56cpaid	+46.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x81a9…6a2cbacked Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa931…bddabacked Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4487…dd4cbacked Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c8…5676backed Yes	43c	260$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.8	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…90aebacked Yes	20c	252.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	360	38.1%137 W · 223 L	-15.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x233a…ae12backed Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd1…d2a9backed Yes	20c	246$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed No	65c	239.96$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.89	96	64.6%62 W · 34 L	+6.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a64…51d1backed Yes	17c	235.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes	23c	217.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	73	47.9%35 W · 38 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0094…c496backed Yes	19c	210.53$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd15b…0906backed Yes	22c	210$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.11	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ada…dcb4backed No	24c	208.54$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.12	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes	18c	203.78$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.01	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e52…44e7backed No	71c	200$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	84	42.9%36 W · 48 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0034…d5a8backed No	49c	199.99$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.29	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?this page
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain won
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Portugal won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Portugal won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Portugal won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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