TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x99fc…ec26

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
808
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT64240.2%258 W · 384 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 642 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Sebastian Gorzny vs Cruz Hewittbacked Cruz Hewitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+177.4%+$470.03
US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heidebacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$194.99
Winston-Salem Open: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+57%+$176.58
US Open, Qualification ATP: Mark Lajal vs Jordan Leebacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.78
Fils vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$708.95
Set Handicap: Brooksby (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5)backed Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.48
Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Luca Van Asschebacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$282.43
Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.1
Quebec City: Zizou Bergs vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,830.15
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,638Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,637.79
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$641.17
Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Asschebacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.15
Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Norbert Gombosbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Anton Matusevich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Kingston: Juan Carlos Prado vs Pedro Martinezbacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.1
Cancun: Henrique Rocha vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cancun: Vit Kopriva vs Gauthier Onclinbacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$981.83
Quebec City: Rei Sakamoto vs Luca Van Asschebacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.87
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$731.26
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$351.93
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$152.9
Showing 25 of 642 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10339.8%41 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$135.96
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$532
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.55
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$374.57
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+304%+$316.2
Norway leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$95.33
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,672Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$564.83
Morocco to score first vs. France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$176.98
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+303.7%+$485.94
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$364
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$533.24
Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.38
Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT3941%16 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.79
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jalin Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$167.6
UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Dustin Stoltzfus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+525%+$325.5
UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Edson Barboza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+90%+$195.29
UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Eric McConico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.01
UFC 330: Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Rafael Tobias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bogdan Guskov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mitch Ramirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Tabatha Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$301
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$390.91
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Brandon Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+213.2%+$319.8
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$117.86
UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Elisha Ellison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$576.47
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Nazim Sadykhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Abus Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.68
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.75
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$31.88
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$249.82
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$34.92
VOOI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,054.44
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+357.7%+$357.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.