Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e0dd5ced2e7a7188fdeb4c990ad80ca715edfbbe3ba136246c46f44f00ca1d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 23c | 34,732$7,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,820.23 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 20,486$15,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,337.44 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 25c | 15,267$3,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,869.49 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…43fcbacked No | 76c | 13,308$10,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 12,179$9,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.65 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…e047backed Yes | 30c | 10,775$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…df7cbacked Yes | 26c | 8,122$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 6,802$5,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.68 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes | 25c | 5,015$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 25c | 4,966$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.5 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 73c | 4,844$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.59 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 23c | 4,328$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.37 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…13cdbacked No | 76c | 3,942$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.18 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 74cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 75c | 3,778$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.44 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,585$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 3,564$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.39 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 3,524$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.46 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 77c | 3,260$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.47 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e2…41b6backed Yes | 27c | 3,163$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.7 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 2,869$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.19 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 75c | 2,200$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a3…e4b7backed Yes | 24c | 2,115$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 80c | 2,047$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.45 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed No | 75c | 1,870$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.49 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked No | 80c | 1,824$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.7 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 1,512$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.88 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Yes | 33c | 1,454$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,432$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.58 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.84 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…edf2backed No | 75c | 1,300$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 1,138$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 80c | 1,098$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.53 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 68c | 1,090$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.69 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…aff0backed Yes | 25c | 955$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed Yes | 33c | 872.55$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.94 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Yes | 25c | 869.8$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…cc75backed No | 76c | 858.51$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.04 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…b06bbacked Yes | 27c | 795.42$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked No | 69c | 793.44$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.97 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 767.89$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.38 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Yes | 25c | 764$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 77c | 709.06$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.96 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 80c | 683.19$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.64 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…94aebacked No | 76c | 648.42$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 558.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b1…3cd5backed Yes | 14c | 526.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 76c | 499.96$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 24c | 481.18$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.48 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 80c | 478.46$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 80c | 478.46$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 76c | 474.03$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.77 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…958dbacked Yes | 25c | 424.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes | 26c | 382.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…8264backed Yes | 25c | 378.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd404…b4ebbacked Yes | 21c | 362.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 332.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 25c | 332.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 33c | 328.66$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Yes | 33c | 325.75$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc948…59b7backed Yes | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…a2acbacked Yes | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cc…85edbacked Yes | 25c | 305.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Yes | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Yes | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Yes | 24c | 288.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 24c | 286.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked No | 76c | 270.6$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 11c | 257.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 253.85$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 247.58$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 25c | 232$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 221.46$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 24c | 214.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 9c | 209.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d3…89e4backed Yes | 33c | 203.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…e285backed Yes | 32c | 201.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7eb…7c90backed Yes | 25c | 197.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ba…6a77backed Yes | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 27c | 180.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…2cc9backed Yes | 27c | 177.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac20…a68abacked Yes | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x774d…4a5cbacked Yes | 8c | 165.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…92dfbacked Yes | 18c | 148.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 24c | 145.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Yes | 24c | 143.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 26c | 140.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d0…9d70backed No | 70c | 121.38$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…2c8ebacked Yes | 24c | 119.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 33c | 116.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 24c | 114.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…fae1backed Yes | 25c | 114.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.