TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cfe…294c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5714%8 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.9
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.24
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.76
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.78
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.22
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,168.15
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.66
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+400%+$232.28
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.76
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.16
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.13
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.93
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$376.19
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.5
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.73
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.14
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+525%+$997.08
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.4
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.64
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$522
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.7
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$118.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 1 Málaga CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.66
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.61
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.3
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.06
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$489.66
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.6
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.82
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.74
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+308.3%+$616.67
Will Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick6cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+1,168.1%+$10,633.65
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,408Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,792
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$163
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$68.41
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$130
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$66.5
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$251.19
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$159.2
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$231.24
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$637.58
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200.58
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-77.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: PFK CSKA Sofia 3 - 3 MH Maccabi Tel Aviv?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.03
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 3 - 3 Aston Villa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.11
Exact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Exact Score: SC Freiburg 3 - 3 Aston Villa FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.87
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.44
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.53
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.16
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+172.3%+$263.31
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick14cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.19
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.62
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.52
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.65
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.18
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Will Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$806.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.