Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb333a6d97034d0cda3c656e103285e6629292bc899a4539f5f52047a8e97290b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 36c | 6,144$2,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,941.13 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 4,419$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.37 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 1,797$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.24 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 12c | 1,610$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.3 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01bc…dbe4backed Yes | 12c | 1,385$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 56c | 1,274$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.43 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 28c | 956.8$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.9 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 825.41$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.87 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 778.11$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.56 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 28c | 688.53$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.2 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 7c | 683.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 32c | 505.75$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 28c | 494.63$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.06 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 63c | 365.6$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.3 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 53c | 318.27$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.17 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 295.43$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.51 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…e87dbacked Yes | 62c | 289.47$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked No | 57c | 257.85$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 51c | 248.41$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked Yes | 28c | 231.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 23c | 220$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.4 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…3c48backed Yes | 43c | 210.06$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…1dcfbacked Yes | 27c | 201.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +261.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…0dfebacked Yes | 13c | 189.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 179.18$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.01 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 28c | 171.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.44 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 9c | 162.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 156.53$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 45c | 145.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 63c | 125.68$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 73c | 122$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.06 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 111.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 34c | 105.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 65c | 104.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 67c | 101.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 25c | 99.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 28c | 95.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 67c | 92.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 17c | 87.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 68c | 83.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 68c | 83.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…2866backed No | 43c | 82.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 68c | 80.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 68c | 80.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 27c | 78.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Yes | 45c | 77.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…23d9backed Yes | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 62c | 71.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 55c | 69.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 40c | 65.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 27c | 53.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9497…556fbacked Yes | 27c | 53.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 55c | 40.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…a55abacked Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 39.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 56c | 34.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed No | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 59c | 31.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Yes | 44c | 29.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed Yes | 76c | 25.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208b…9613backed Yes | 44c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 75c | 24.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 50c | 21.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 73 | 78.1%57 W · 16 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked No | 59c | 18.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 74c | 15.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 14.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?No won
- Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.