TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd6c6…3c48

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 52 out of 100; worst La Liga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$68.89
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.64
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$29.85
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+206.7%+$65.3
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.15
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.59
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.94
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$61.54
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+355.3%+$223.13
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.47
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.79
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.31
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$45.67
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$111.96
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$49.44
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.67
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.69
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$35.22
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$100.59
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.46
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+133.2%+$120
Spread: FC Schalke 04 (-1.5)backed FC Schalke 04 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.24
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$36.18
Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.94
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.