Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86ec3fe77e4063fc9c287241cb53e2557174dd6244e8774b01d093e485afa71d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,669,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,524,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,669,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,721 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 50c | 394,108$196,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196,112.84 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 337,630$170,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167,309.59 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed No | 51c | 255,291$130,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,203.66 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 49c | 194,664$96,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,565.15 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Yes | 50c | 194,000$97,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 167,039$59,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,622.74 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 49c | 150,000$74,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,999.91 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…43fcbacked No | 51c | 139,215$71,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,999.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed No | 51c | 133,220$67,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,942 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 123,486$60,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,867.14 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 50c | 84,853$42,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,426.53 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 50c | 83,955$41,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,808.52 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 49c | 77,125$38,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,119.05 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…7a5abacked Yes | 49c | 69,139$33,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,260.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Yes | 50c | 53,385$26,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,603.92 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 51c | 50,082$25,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,541.57 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 50c | 50,000$24,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,749.87 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 49c | 46,773$22,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,918.75 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 39,986$19,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,638.81 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 37,491$15,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,192.87 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…4402backed No | 0c | 34,788$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 48c | 31,401$15,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,311.86 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed No | 50c | 30,036$15,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,017.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked No | 51c | 29,118$14,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,850.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Yes | 50c | 27,645$13,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,822.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 50c | 26,633$13,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,316.51 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 49c | 24,607$12,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500.36 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…f032backed Yes | 50c | 24,250$12,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,125 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked No | 52c | 22,708$11,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,808.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 21,843$11,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,243.18 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 48c | 20,245$9,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,589.86 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 51c | 19,726$10,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,668.8 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 49c | 18,971$9,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,675.02 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked Yes | 49c | 17,652$8,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,924.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked Yes | 49c | 17,552$8,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,951.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 50c | 16,490$8,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,245 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…f586backed Yes | 48c | 15,763$7,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,196.75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 14,306$7,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,213.04 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd870…9b36backed Yes | 51c | 13,322$6,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,527.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…c370backed Yes | 48c | 13,009$6,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,713.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 50c | 12,379$6,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,208.67 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 50c | 12,028$6,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,014.23 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 57c | 12,000$6,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,839.83 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 48c | 11,505$5,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,982.34 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Yes | 43c | 11,230$4,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,401.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 49c | 10,149$4,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,973.01 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…8befbacked Yes | 50c | 10,041$5,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Yes | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked No | 55c | 9,884$5,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,389.49 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Yes | 50c | 9,695$4,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,847.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed No | 56c | 8,693$4,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,868 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…e047backed Yes | 50c | 8,264$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked No | 52c | 8,218$4,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,273.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Yes | 47c | 8,198$3,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,324.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 31c | 8,061$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.69 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.94 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 50c | 7,993$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.4 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 51c | 7,767$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.5 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Yes | 51c | 7,683$3,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,751.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 50c | 7,657$3,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,836.02 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked No | 50c | 7,509$3,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.43 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 53c | 7,438$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,961.51 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 51c | 7,315$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,584.37 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 49c | 7,100$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.98 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe635…702abacked Yes | 51c | 7,027$3,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed No | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes | 49c | 6,821$3,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478.79 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes | 50c | 6,790$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,395 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…65adbacked No | 0c | 6,771$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Yes | 73c | 6,749$4,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 50c | 6,595$3,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,293.08 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…c875backed Yes | 50c | 6,208$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.98 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 51c | 6,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.94 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 50c | 5,970$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 49c | 5,880$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.07 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes | 50c | 5,820$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed No | 2c | 5,757$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes | 51c | 5,709$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 55c | 5,435$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.6 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 49c | 5,276$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.75 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 43c | 5,222$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.49 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 49c | 5,184$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.55 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 50c | 5,097$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.68 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked No | 52c | 5,033$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.38 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Yes | 50c | 4,879$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 51c | 4,853$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 52c | 4,848$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.11 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…40cebacked Yes | 49c | 4,847$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66e2…41b6backed Yes | 50c | 4,780$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.55 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 51c | 4,750$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.54 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Yes | 51c | 4,729$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.