TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x571c…c16a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
304
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15,610Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4,151.24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,959.51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$9,895Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7,774.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$9,478Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3,159.33
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16,562Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,561.98
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$3,876.62
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14,589Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5,673.59
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3,513.51
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,700
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,244
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$1,043.76
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,054.05
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4,925.37
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,568.41
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$9,844Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3,458.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19,149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8,206.71
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$9,375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2,644.12
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,892Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,892
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33,041Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$29,300.69
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17,719Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6,225.66
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$8,245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$8,245
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$1,011.29
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,710Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$1,004.29
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT5740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,700
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,650
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7,241.38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,000
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,000
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10,762Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,762.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,669.63
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19,760Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$4,940
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19,736Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5,566.56
Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. PSV Eindhoven end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,350
Will Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,730Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$991.52
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$1,005.71
Will Napoli vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,640Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+38%+$1,001.92
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,230
Will Villarreal vs. Juventus end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,700
Will Qarabag vs. FC Kopenhagen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,706Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$1,000.85
Will Union St. Gilloise vs. Newcastle United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,005Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+33.1%+$995.72
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,909Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,909
Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Tottenham Hotspur end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,245
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+67.4%+$1,011.4
Will Inter win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$1,000
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,720Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+58.2%+$1,000.74
Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,350Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$1,000.65
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT4845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,850.25
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$3,947.51
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2,658.23
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$9,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,740.13
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,380
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,508.77
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$764.41
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,951Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,355.64
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15,925Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4,491.66
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19,720Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6,573.23
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,280
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,998
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,350Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$1,007.14
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$2,987.01
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,270
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,755Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$1,000.5
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+48.6%+$1,993.35
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,960Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$1,040
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,350Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$1,000.65
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,385
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$976.45
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,420Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$2,008.57
Will Getafe win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+94.2%+$1,883.6
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$883Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$883
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hungary win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$289
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Will Portugal win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+43%+$1,289.84
Will Austria win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+64.3%+$1,606.53
Will Romania win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will England win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+88.9%+$1,777.08
Will Cyprus win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Will Serbia win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Armenia win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+323%+$2,732.46
Will Israel win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$242.48
Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Italy win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+41.4%+$1,242.48
Will Kosovo win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+399.4%+$2,396.37
Will Denmark win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+193.5%+$2,902.19
Will Greece win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Finland win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Will Luxembourg win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Poland win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+56.7%+$1,701.53
Will Slovakia win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$2,000
Will Spain win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+51.8%+$1,709.52
Will Türkiye win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Hungary win on 2025-09-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-09-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Montenegro win on 2025-09-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40%+$3,996.82
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,511
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,691Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,691
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,674Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,674
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,130
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$1,000
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,115Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+47.3%+$1,000.07
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,300
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$2,209.52
Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$1,571.43
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,960Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$1,040
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$1,831.48
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+61.9%+$990.63
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,920Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+37%+$1,080
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$1,229.73
All 17 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$2,255.56
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$437.88
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$2,531.1
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$942.98
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,630Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,984.29
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$1,022.79
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+100.9%+$1,008.97
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,710Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$1,004.29
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,780
Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+31%+$990.56
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$998.43
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,360
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+118.1%+$2,361.71
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,363Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$1,012.71
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,995Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+28.3%+$847.68
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$8,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$5,594.26
Will Real Betis beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,550
Will Chelsea beat Real Betis?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,367Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+81.2%+$4,357.19
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$14,000
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$4,259.26
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,324
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+259.4%+$32,428.57
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-58.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+40.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.