TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$203,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,534 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd202…8973backed Yes26c37,425$9,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,694.412250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes44c25,161$10,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,177.374,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No74c22,951$16,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,979.7719840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c14,582$4,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,858.863,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked No78c12,902$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0004845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No74c8,036$5,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,968.115459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No33c6,452$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.8421322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes24c6,385$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,850.651,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No61c5,588$3,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,425.5257139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes14c5,421$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,646.191030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes23c4,568$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,515.5635442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes21c3,423$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,704.282240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes70c2,843$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.548343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes24c2,400$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.8364457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes28c2,377$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.444042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes22c2,314$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.9228045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes23c2,000$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.7519255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes23c2,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5508246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No37c1,968$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.6313658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No3c1,881$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0112823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c4…a00fbacked No73c1,644$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1b6…bca1backed No73c1,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ac…d211backed No73c1,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+59%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked No40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010041%41 W · 59 L-13.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed No73c1,233$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb7b…3051backed No40c1,144$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.51771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+90.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed Yes27c1,050$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.7411258%65 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f1…8332backed Yes64c999.99$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de6…d1a3backed No73c958.9$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No45c940.68$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.314332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes28c892.86$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.862927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No45c861.78$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39220843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes30c855.94$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.2892345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c824$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.7683650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed No35c770.21$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.64866.7%32 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes24c766.22$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.1569750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes27c764.69$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.2348153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No73c749.9$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.4721355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe7…0f1fbacked Yes28c700$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes44c659.46$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.4358548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes25c635.83$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.7375451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes22c629.41$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.41,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd7a…7887backed No72c599.98$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.992556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Yes51c579.02$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.721353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c572.65$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.252,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes23c521.74$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.7413426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed No79c504.81$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.281675%12 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae92…d367backed No74c499.98$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.99875%6 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed No51c494.34$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507744.2%34 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff4c…25a4backed No37c470.02$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed No21c449.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.55435.2%19 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No79c441.75$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35013051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No34c433.9$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.626641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No73c387.42$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8217159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x034a…49c0backed Yes62c345.69$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No9c301.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.679931.3%31 W · 68 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x81e3…f2c9backed No73c300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes57c295.64$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0516348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes27c280.5$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7622246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes46c275$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7422446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No77c270.13$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2085156.9%29 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No29c269.88$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2610948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes66c268.56$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2820252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf629…38d5backed Yes70c256.49$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+43.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d0d…0a99backed Yes25c250.82$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.827838.5%30 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb078…289ebacked Yes66c248.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes24c239.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.5923843.3%103 W · 135 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Yes28c213.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.434944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1543046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0531…3770backed No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14620%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes71c199.99$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4317044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No46c188.34$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7728138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No25c185.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.29750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c185$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0553242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes55c181.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.494353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes22c174.68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6745450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes28c174.34$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1819555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No44c165.52$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9963553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc9f…2ca3backed No73c163.3$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.211163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No27c158.47$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.749946.5%46 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2309…2a24backed Yes64c153$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes52c148.77$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4933734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5956…970abacked Yes74c141.5$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x608f…f46cbacked Yes72c138.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf54c…e6ccbacked No37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006163.9%39 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes55c127$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1515442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes27c126.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5133161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes54c126.01$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8710556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No74c125$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.54845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Yes68c123.53$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2563…f946backed Yes26c115.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3813844.9%62 W · 76 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Yes25c113.22$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.613342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No73c109.49$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9321354.5%116 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0afb…d23dbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.141353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes27c105.46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4123957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked No77c101.3$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7310270.6%72 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.