TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xebe7…0f1f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$228
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$414.99
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.79
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$57.16
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$81.88
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Thunder vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$109.97
Nets vs. Heatbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
Mavericks vs. Hornetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$112
76ers vs. Pacersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$60
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+37%+$67.5
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$296
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$151.8
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$218.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$83.13
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancebacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.6
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$130.5
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$45
Will Israel win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$268
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+105.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+104.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$185.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+85.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+270.4%+$766.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nice win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.