Fifa International · resolved market
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f0238f109028445232328dce2ff342cb92207a4e9e0e0dda195f1644655b2ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,850,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,765,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,850,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,913 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 30c | 1,400,000$416,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416,582.67 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664c…f49cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,074,223$318,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318,190.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 514,925$388,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,598.33 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 70c | 514,471$361,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152,532.99 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 70c | 483,300$340,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142,625.5 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 25c | 463,318$117,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,689.56 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 71c | 272,000$192,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,233.95 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 70c | 204,486$142,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,090.89 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f0…5355backed Yes | 24c | 198,637$47,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,667.6 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 71c | 181,418$127,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,512.61 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 70c | 173,680$121,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,849.15 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed No | 70c | 135,000$94,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,884.87 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 70c | 118,140$83,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,073.81 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 25c | 112,032$27,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,920.44 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c68…247abacked Yes | 28c | 109,227$31,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,031.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 30c | 102,861$31,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,044.93 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 97,562$17,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,587.13 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 23c | 95,189$22,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,100.49 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 71c | 90,394$63,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,585.39 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…fac1backed No | 79c | 79,099$62,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,769.06 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed No | 69c | 75,000$51,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,250 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 76c | 68,923$52,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,386.84 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…1db8backed No | 72c | 68,776$49,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,175.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed No | 70c | 64,152$45,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,120.26 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 77c | 63,122$48,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,355.46 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 30c | 55,828$16,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,861.3 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes | 27c | 55,181$14,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,691.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…4d5abacked No | 79c | 49,999$39,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,649.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 25c | 49,268$12,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,311.42 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…c909backed No | 71c | 47,222$33,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,754.16 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 68c | 44,392$30,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,192.53 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 71c | 33,950$24,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,869.82 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 27c | 32,334$8,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,888.79 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…ae1dbacked Yes | 29c | 30,660$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 30,060$23,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,934.3 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes | 22c | 30,031$6,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,630 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad7…ae48backed No | 77c | 30,000$23,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.99 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…9d59backed No | 79c | 30,000$23,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,269.9 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d5…7767backed No | 70c | 28,224$19,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,434.81 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed No | 69c | 27,775$19,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,691.56 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 30c | 27,237$8,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,198.39 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Yes | 28c | 26,899$7,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,609.82 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 24,781$17,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,186.47 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 67c | 23,183$15,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,720.17 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…c8a3backed No | 76c | 23,134$17,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,526.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf81…6e25backed Yes | 26c | 23,125$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed No | 70c | 22,464$15,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,722.54 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed No | 75c | 21,616$16,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,329.81 | 293 | 33.8%99 W · 194 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 72c | 20,633$14,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,847.07 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 72c | 20,000$14,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,531.19 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 8c | 19,999$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.8 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 72c | 19,930$14,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,627.44 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x119b…ac3ebacked Yes | 31c | 19,326$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 73c | 19,209$13,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,234.67 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 73c | 18,750$13,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,024.98 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed No | 70c | 17,827$12,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,348.23 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8a…f2d9backed No | 74c | 17,567$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,566.73 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 68c | 17,504$11,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,577.52 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…650cbacked No | 78c | 17,185$13,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710.11 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 71c | 17,008$12,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,966.4 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 70c | 16,823$11,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001.94 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed No | 70c | 16,750$11,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,108.75 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Yes | 30c | 16,275$4,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,835.55 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 70c | 16,080$11,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,787.57 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…3d54backed Yes | 21c | 16,025$3,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.89 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 15,222$11,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,219.59 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 69c | 14,403$9,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,436.12 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes | 21c | 14,400$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.8 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 74c | 13,587$9,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,588 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 70c | 13,400$9,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,033.4 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 69c | 13,203$9,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,047.26 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 12,877$9,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.91 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ba…27bdbacked Yes | 24c | 12,448$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Yes | 28c | 12,017$3,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.85 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 24c | 11,767$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.08 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked No | 72c | 11,374$8,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207.42 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 30c | 10,924$3,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,271.73 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes | 24c | 10,372$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a4…856ebacked No | 69c | 10,348$7,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,256.27 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 21c | 10,139$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.12 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a29…25a8backed No | 70c | 10,050$7,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 27c | 10,004$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.88 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked No | 70c | 10,000$6,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked No | 71c | 10,000$7,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Yes | 29c | 10,000$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…13a3backed Yes | 21c | 10,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed No | 67c | 10,000$6,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.96 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked No | 70c | 9,797$6,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.79 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 21c | 9,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed No | 77c | 9,290$7,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.96 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 27c | 9,010$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.37 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…4931backed No | 77c | 9,000$6,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Yes | 29c | 9,000$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 71c | 8,625$6,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed No | 71c | 8,602$6,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.23 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Yes | 23c | 8,547$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 77c | 8,500$6,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.99 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…4a14backed No | 69c | 8,400$5,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.17 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 31c | 8,228$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.4 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 77c | 8,166$6,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.01 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?this page
- Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.