Fifa International · resolved market
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e9014ddc6e6386e9bbd6bb8e6bd0049094ebaa3fa2eabf51055b2439c08a075
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,482,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,703,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,482,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,632 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 393,949$276,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276,990.13 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Yes | 57c | 300,000$170,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,078.18 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 278,356$109,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,284.96 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 30c | 225,756$67,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158,119.61 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 43c | 224,187$97,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,149.55 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 30c | 138,209$41,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,103.81 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 72c | 107,478$77,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,727.44 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f9…8615backed No | 72c | 104,976$75,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,394.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 54c | 96,261$52,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,071.24 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 30c | 76,765$22,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,014.15 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 75,243$34,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,339.66 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 62,781$30,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,100.85 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked No | 71c | 57,773$41,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,156.7 | 150 | 44%66 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed No | 72c | 50,894$36,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,471.3 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c6…4710backed Yes | 27c | 50,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,500 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 49,255$13,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,568.39 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 35c | 45,556$16,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,543.01 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 72c | 40,977$29,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,504.75 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 12c | 35,085$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,279.59 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 28c | 32,813$9,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,625.34 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 44c | 32,344$14,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,256.15 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 64c | 31,408$20,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,011.65 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 49c | 30,004$14,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,561.39 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 26,854$7,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,621.64 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 10c | 25,749$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.39 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…1eb0backed No | 0c | 25,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 27c | 24,723$6,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,037.89 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…f82bbacked Yes | 63c | 21,368$13,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,975.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked No | 72c | 20,805$14,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,958.53 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes | 54c | 20,000$10,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,247.59 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 28c | 20,000$5,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,402.59 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 30c | 19,556$5,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,679.19 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 61c | 19,292$11,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,523.93 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 49c | 18,825$9,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,265.73 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 43c | 18,398$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,498.45 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x119b…ac3ebacked Yes | 29c | 17,483$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,482.52 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Yes | 78c | 16,751$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,751.17 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 71c | 16,096$11,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,487.72 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…3cd9backed Yes | 32c | 15,159$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,258.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582b…d4e2backed No | 71c | 13,699$9,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,712.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…9352backed No | 72c | 13,307$9,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,576.94 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked Yes | 76c | 13,236$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.28 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes | 28c | 13,105$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,448.98 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed Yes | 26c | 12,953$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,572.4 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a4…856ebacked No | 8c | 12,541$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.7 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…d893backed Yes | 28c | 12,250$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,812.89 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 15c | 11,800$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes | 65c | 11,359$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,958.58 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…138fbacked No | 66c | 10,448$6,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,862.98 | 188 | 51.1%96 W · 92 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Yes | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 28c | 10,000$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,189.93 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked No | 74c | 9,873$7,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,256.58 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 41c | 9,000$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,310.27 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdd…2f82backed Yes | 70c | 8,478$5,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.23 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 71c | 8,001$5,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,710.27 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 71c | 8,000$5,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,680 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…650cbacked No | 59c | 7,858$4,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,615.85 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 55c | 7,722$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.9 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 28c | 7,571$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,451.12 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 45c | 7,480$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402.22 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 47c | 7,463$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,962.56 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 28c | 7,030$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040.51 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…9e24backed Yes | 51c | 7,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 26c | 6,000$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.79 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…4e4dbacked Yes | 43c | 5,815$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.59 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 72c | 5,726$4,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.76 | 188 | 43.6%82 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…a0cebacked Yes | 28c | 5,714$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114.29 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 5,653$4,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,070.5 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 63c | 5,505$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.78 | 284 | 35.9%102 W · 182 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed No | 71c | 5,200$3,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,703.64 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 42c | 5,052$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.57 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…8717backed Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 28c | 4,920$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537.22 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 78c | 4,858$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.09 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 68c | 4,854$3,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.19 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 21c | 4,523$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.21 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 36c | 4,479$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.76 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 66c | 4,473$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.93 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 29c | 4,456$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.87 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 33c | 4,407$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.78 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 48c | 4,403$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.39 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 32c | 4,375$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.52 | 293 | 33.8%99 W · 194 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 56c | 4,335$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.78 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Yes | 68c | 4,258$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.58 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed Yes | 65c | 4,119$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.39 | 217 | 38.7%84 W · 133 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…ab68backed Yes | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.99 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.99 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 53c | 3,944$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.2 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…093bbacked Yes | 76c | 3,941$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…989abacked Yes | 62c | 3,874$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.84 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 49c | 3,708$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.11 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yes | 28c | 3,616$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.84 | 258 | 57.4%148 W · 110 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 27c | 3,596$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.67 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…2099backed Yes | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.43 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 29c | 3,512$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.94 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 71c | 3,494$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.74 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Yes | 29c | 3,436$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.43 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720b…37f6backed Yes | 56c | 3,390$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Yes | 29c | 3,323$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.55 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 40c | 3,256$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.13 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?this page
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?No won
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.