TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa5f…6bfe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
474
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 208 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.82
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,539Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$709.9
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+280.6%+$621.29
Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,361.68
Will Argentina win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.76
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.49
France vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.03
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.74
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.81
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.72
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+287.7%+$109.96
Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.73
Will France win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.16
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,420.74
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,961Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,095.93
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020.36
Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.98
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.51
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.91
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$85.8
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.88
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,398.3
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.15
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.67
Showing 25 of 208 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT7550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42,000
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17,156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,155.7
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,500
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12,523Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15,305.96
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16,081Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11,644.99
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,000
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$8,358.46
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27,000
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,000
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,463.07
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,500
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,593Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,153.42
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10,481Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12,809.85
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,000
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,000
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23,500
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23,490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$22,569
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24,000
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,565.65
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,500
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$3,602.58
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11,578Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13,591.8
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,500
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,500
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,875Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$5,723.21
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT4540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$9,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,998.45
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20,674Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,673.65
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,314
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13,014Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13,545.6
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,153.1
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$922Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$921.51
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,869Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,869.12
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,370
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,893Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,893.05
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,423Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$5,422.5
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$385,401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$385,401.36
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,843Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$7,122.15
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,006Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$4,809.35
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,800
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,513Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$3,242.4
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,900
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-20.5)backed Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$5,100
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,971Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,971
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70,097.85
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 131.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.66
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)backed Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,280.5
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,953Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,797.5
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$95,760.16
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-1.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,744Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,675.95
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,214.57
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$6,245.69
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19,156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18,404.4
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,438.4
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,236Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$4,588.72
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,961Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$6,204.15
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11,187Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10,748.15
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$604.65
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,472Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$7,298.57
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,691Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$8,004.45
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24,500
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$25,000
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,093.6
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15,887Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,887.26
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98,405Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102,421.42
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,609.31
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,428Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,427.7
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,029.58
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$153,014Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$106,331.45
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$39.05
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,017Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$2,149.95
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,200
All 22 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,100
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$3,400
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,300
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700
Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,450
FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,453Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,776.6
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,450
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.71
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.99
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$109.8
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,857Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,857
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.14
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.5
Spread: CF Montréal (-1.5)backed CF Montréal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.47
New England Revolution vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,446Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,389.3
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,088Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,088
Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)backed Sporting Kansas City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,609.1
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12,679Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7,446.25
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,987Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$6,347.15
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28,688Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$22,466.7
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,481Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,480.72
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22,938Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$23,147.42
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$821.01
Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,001.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,107.53
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20,383Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$19,392
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,269
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42,000
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,545Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,030.23
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$5,000
Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,927.94
Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,203.72
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,884.65
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29,870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29,869.95
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60,024Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35%+$21,016.79
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,686Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,686.3
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,443.45
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,057Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,513.5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,744Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+400%+$6,976
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,326Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,308.6
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,290.2
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,078.05
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,710Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$3,175.25
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,428Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$2,191.8
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,111.01
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,123.94
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,927Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,527.29
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.33
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$39.28
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$120.33
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)backed Atlas FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,037Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,861.32
CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,532Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,393.25
Spread: CA Platense (-1.5)backed Independiente Santa Fe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$3,100
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,000
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,784Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$2,128.72
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,686Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,324.51
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$912.83
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,612Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,612.17
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,200
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$4,400
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$3,200
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$76,931Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$76,931.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$120,000
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$69,859Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$67,119.08
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$110,000
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,223.28
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,446Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,297.01
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16,100
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$7,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,498.05
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$112,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$112,207.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,575.25
Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,400
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16,644Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$30,910.78
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20,000
Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)backed SS Lazio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,784Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,784.2
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22,500
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$7,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,200
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.97
AC Milan vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$4,938.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,802Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$5,371.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,785Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$2,722.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,449Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$457.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,707Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,706.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,541.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.