TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,047 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe4d6…308abacked No68c17,583$11,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,937.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No34c9,050$3,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,103.381,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No49c6,265$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,044.911,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes32c5,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked No43c4,552$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes36c4,151$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,655.013759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+106.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes63c3,977$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.917974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes68c3,436$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.4423548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes32c3,352$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,281.3477751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes31c3,298$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,270.4298945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes31c2,505$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.4218655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes33c2,105$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.6468150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked Yes55c1,819$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.531060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes74c1,418$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.7317753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes73c1,383$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.2122946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes35c1,270$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.753348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes61c1,113$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.051,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes50c1,041$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.816657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Yes33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6701850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No45c949.31$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.1999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes65c869.34$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.110644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes32c767.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.4568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked No66c749.91$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.942948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes66c733.37$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.0210249%50 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb00c…0f71backed Yes77c651.04$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+77.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes31c650$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.55042%21 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed No48c628.52$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-69.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes35c590.89$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.5425851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes38c536.25$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.293,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked No44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes76c489$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2222042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No52c486.74$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.1971443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8bd4…5aaebacked Yes62c419.45$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.45580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes70c398.42$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.25068%34 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes31c393.38$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.3823953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes77c391.59$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.680249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes32c390.63$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.0597146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e5…99a2backed Yes56c342.6$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.11450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked No19c316.14$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.641338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1895131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Yes56c246.74$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.783250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No30c246.15$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1587154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes31c245.87$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.6533346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes32c241.46$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0453040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No38c233.48$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4754949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c231.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.391,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes32c220.98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2770249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes36c218.5$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7896756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes77c205.3$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1712343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed No62c204.24$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.633135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c203.79$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6172850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes32c193$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.935149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes49c183.31$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5419073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.823943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes70c175.28$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.320849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae43…f595backed Yes62c171.06$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes57c170.88$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0736051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes30c157.7$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6115051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25c7…9179backed Yes33c151.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.76911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-66.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes31c150.28$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4131446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6da9…cb87backed Yes31c150$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+218.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda49…5307backed Yes68c148.37$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes31c148$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.481,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No69c144.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d32…fe22backed Yes55c144.02$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked Yes69c143.48$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes75c132.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.961145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick71cpaid-40%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes43c132$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.68241.5%34 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x654b…691ebacked Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed No63c123.33$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.752737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes59c122$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.584924.5%12 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No27c120.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.542060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.22166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No47c114.09$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.763327.3%9 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes43c114$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3715676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No48c113.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7778344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes61c112.57$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2812839.8%51 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes26c110$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.39660.4%58 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb897…c669backed Yes74c105$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes33c103.03$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0324326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.353438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.775354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes56c92.86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.861118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-69.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No29c86.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7630735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes64c83.04$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1920252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ece…0163backed Yes31c80.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.651225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No55c80.06$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9537249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes35c77.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6918651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes35c77.37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.34673.9%34 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xadcc…9cddbacked Yes55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x928d…c482backed Yes37c66.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.931855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0b…0087backed Yes61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.524639.1%18 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x551e…a3f4backed Yes62c64.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.181384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+36.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No24c63.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2312247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes35c63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9510848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No64c55.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.798563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No64c55.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7919560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.