TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,580
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,580 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe4d6…308abacked Yes42c50,302$21,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,060.0330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fc3…c9e7backed No58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.95837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc55…dd71backed Yes42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No58c7,274$4,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,055.1313553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c6,297$3,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,753.411,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c5,018$2,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.477751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed No56c4,420$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.182254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No60c3,259$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.1771443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No58c2,924$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.9698945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05018655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No59c2,131$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.5653046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No75c2,019$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.621,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No58c1,600$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67217258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+90.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No58c1,254$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.5268150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes12c1,212$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No58c1,200$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50412263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b65…2852backed No58c1,200$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed No59c1,191$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.14959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No58c1,099$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.649854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a8…0753backed No58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed No58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4205147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1362…f403backed No58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c971.48$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.8897146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No63c957.37$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9478344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed No58c900$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3782128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-52.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No58c700$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29412661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes4c695.43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.131915.8%3 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-47.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes4c667.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.771,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c624.01$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.263,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25215858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No58c592$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.6411055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf797…37ccbacked Yes44c566$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.041338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21014359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes43c465.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No56c428.57$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.5720043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16816960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16814257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Yes43c393$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes11c356.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.243759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+106.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25c7…9179backed Yes42c318.61$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.27911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-66.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes42c302.14$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.910848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No57c300.99$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12615060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262763%17 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12613158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes42c299.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.055131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Yes17c277.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked No58c270$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.41764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked No57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.163432.4%11 W · 23 L-7.4wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-41%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No61c261.66$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1299340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No58c260$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.211759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No58c260$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.212162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No60c255.42$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3417858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No58c223$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8268550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes17c221.02$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.154924.5%12 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes45c215.73$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0873438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No58c213.26$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5770249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No59c210.92$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2916657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No57c207.62$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.286851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553327.3%9 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No70c184.16$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.831861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+70.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes13c177.03$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4425652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No80c172.33$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.620849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No59c169$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.111,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No60c165.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.773842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No58c160$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.214459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No78c159.96$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.737974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No58c156$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5214660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No58c156$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5214459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32de…6253backed Yes7c144.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.01110%0 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No58c140$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.816955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes44c116$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.049848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No58c110.53$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9115051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No66c106.87$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5310249%50 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No57c105.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.297758.4%45 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8b…9cd7backed Yes40c105$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-70.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.573438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4215259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4213461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4213560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed No60c97$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7e…f568backed No56c96.32$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.925100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe129…fef1backed Yes40c92.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372540%10 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes16c91.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7212839.8%51 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes25c91.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3280249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes43c90.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3915638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e5…99a2backed Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.69058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No58c77.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5925851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No64c73.6$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5196756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No58c71.13$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8812343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.