TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc03f…249d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,088
Categories scored
48
Categories below 50
27

Best Category: La Liga, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 60 out of 100; worst Middle East at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT17632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 176 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$61.78
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.73
Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.62
Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.83
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+174%+$124.87
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$29.07
Will Pam Bondi attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Will Donald Trump be shown 6-8 times at the World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will the announcers say "Appeal" or "Appealed" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$148
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will the announcers say "Tom Cruise" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.6
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.38
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.67
Will Uhlsport be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+777.2%+$165.93
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 176 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT12441.1%51 W · 73 L-14.5wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.65
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.66
Kurds declare independence from Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$121.45
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.51
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.87
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.22
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$140.88
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$169.56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$782.56
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$66.87
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.08
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,323Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+146.1%+$1,932.66
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+34%+$127
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10844.4%48 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$34.42
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.72
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.56
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.07
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.12
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$140
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 40,000-50,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.65
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$100.59
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Milakulo Tukumuli be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+287.3%+$604.16
Will Angela Rayner be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will there be no next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.22
Will Al Carns be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.46
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.13
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT9326.9%25 W · 68 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.57
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.67
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.74
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.91
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$47.6
Will Eric Yonce be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.19
Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$23.54
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$214
Will Nic Zateslo be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.2
Will Shevrin Jones be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+400%+$160
Will Robin Peguero be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.16
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.18
Will Francesca Hong win Milwaukee County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$59.69
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$29.96
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.34
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT8435.7%30 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+150.6%+$36.05
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$50.8
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.41
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.04
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.58
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$25.65
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$146
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+525%+$168
Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 40%-42%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 38%-40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$84.4
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$19.4
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$286
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$178
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.4
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.55
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT7545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$165.59
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+199%+$63.47
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.99
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$662.46
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$136.32
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$318
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.86
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$212.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+274.4%+$993.15
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$11.44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,535Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$1,894.63
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT5129.4%15 W · 36 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Tires: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+785%+$82.25
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.56
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.33
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Will "Supergirl" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.54
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$19.87
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.4
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 77m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.14
Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+400%+$148
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.8
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.48
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Group B be the group of the EWC CS2 2026 Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will MIBR.LOS make playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Will Natus Vincere make playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FUT Esports make playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$329.93
Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will Falcons Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,785Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,715
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.4
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$135
Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.22
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,030Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,470
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$502
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,915Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,915
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$630
Will there be a reverse sweep in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,640
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,320
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2825%7 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.02
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+139.4%+$151.71
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.23
Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.5
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$62.06
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.41
Will Putin visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,103.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$56.68
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,980
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,380
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,820
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,505Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,995
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,540
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$920
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+114.3%+$1,600
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,720
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$600
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,960
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,110
Canadiens vs. Islandersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,080
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,760
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,760Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,240
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,960
Predators vs. Utahbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,680Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,320
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
All 24 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,750
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,880
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,805Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,695
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,695Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,805
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,785Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,715
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,295
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.18
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,080
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$820
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.71
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,080
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,750
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,080
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$605
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$60.32
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.66
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29%+$90
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$135.73
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.4
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,250
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,280
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$950.7
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$720
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$915Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$585
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$654.46
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$720
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.23
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.16
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$664
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.82
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$2,170
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,500
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,040
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,200
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.76
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,820
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$740
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,040
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$279.99
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$190.68
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,040
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politicslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$7.22
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+250.9%+$286
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$128.88
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$525.63
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.38
Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.76
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$78.34
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.29
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Epstein "I beat Bush" Email unredacted by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$150.38
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$672.83
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.04
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37%+$7.39
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+680.6%+$4,972.12
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.23
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+116.7%+$108.05
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.42
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$17.79
Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$47.29
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$75.43
Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Tom Gentzschbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$23.23
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Laura Siegemund vs Viktoriya Tomovabacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,640Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,360
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$430
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$113.65
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Julia Grabher vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,062Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$1,177.85
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,070Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$930
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Terence Atmane vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Wuning: Kody Pearson vs Zhao Zhaobacked Kody Pearson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$19.53
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luca Van Assche vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.08
Credit One Charleston Open: Sara Bejlek vs Belinda Bencicbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.35
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.93
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+48.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Deportivo de la Coruna achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$794Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$762.73
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,645
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,595Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$3,905
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,970
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,805Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,695
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$600
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,750
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$360
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$866.88
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,180
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,470
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,820Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,680
Will Bilibili Gaming win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$45.62
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.11
Will LCK (South Korea) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stagebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will Zeka Win MSI Finals MVPbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$116.43
Will LPL (China) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stagebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will "Soul" be said 5+ times during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Ground Zero Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,115
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$232.08
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$535.97
All 15 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$54.06
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.19
Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$144
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$99.42
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.72
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$57.92
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.02
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
All 14 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+242.5%+$141.6
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$45.35
Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the #2 US song this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.6
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$21.2
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.8
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$857Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$507.1
Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.7
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.93
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.59
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.88
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$216
Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.23
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$40.07
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.85
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.3
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$29.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-61.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$29.07
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.24
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.14
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,894Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,893.59
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$215.42
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.6
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20.02
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-55.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$57.22
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.31
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.55
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.5
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.47
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.11
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$91.8
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+175.5%+$136.95
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+40%+$340.7
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,330
Will Millwall achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,400
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$2,100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$198.35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.87
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$887Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$886.92
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$16.59
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$83
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.57
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Will Opendoor dip to $3.50 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29.9%+$2.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+52.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$118
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.98
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13.92
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.2%+$384.63
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$26.81
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.09
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+52.8%+$10.56
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.02
All 9 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kevin Yu finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.96
Will Blades Brown finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$118
Will Jeremy Paul finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Kevin Roy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.83
Will Danny Willett finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Jason Day finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$47.06
Will a player from England win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick44cpaid-56.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.4
Will Team Heretics win the EWC Valorant Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Will EDward Gaming be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Leviatán win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.2
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$142
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,380
Will Team Vitality win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,540
All 8 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-41%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-78.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+78.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$94.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,350
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,225
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,920
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$144
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$700
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,570
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Team Spoon vs. Team Coop: O/U 279.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.