Music · resolved market
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1081498f18c528f543e0342046f5a0a638168b9a3cb9197d4529addb1e76f8e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $310,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 415 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Yes | 4c | 10,400$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 73c | 7,800$5,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.83 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 31c | 7,706$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.21 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 24c | 7,367$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…c7d1backed Yes | 2c | 5,634$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 22c | 5,049$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.91 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed No | 79c | 5,048$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…4430backed Yes | 2c | 4,877$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…ebe5backed No | 78c | 4,829$3,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbae…fbacbacked Yes | 1c | 4,380$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 14c | 4,088$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.37 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 67c | 4,000$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.18 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf81…697dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,990$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ab…8ce3backed Yes | 3c | 3,642$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 21c | 3,235$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.51 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33ee…f3a5backed No | 79c | 2,488$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…d348backed Yes | 76c | 2,379$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 26c | 2,121$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.15 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,994$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.71 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 1,987$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed No | 59c | 1,884$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.23 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,827$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.49 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,750$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…d9b5backed Yes | 34c | 1,640$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b4…3f52backed Yes | 2c | 1,510$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…ea28backed Yes | 63c | 1,443$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c2…1be5backed No | 40c | 1,417$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,407$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,265$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…4899backed No | 64c | 1,222$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…a864backed No | 62c | 1,212$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe673…b3d9backed Yes | 21c | 1,192$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…4896backed Yes | 3c | 1,171$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…cf0cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…d8e5backed Yes | 2c | 1,121$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.18 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ea…167bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,059$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…644ebacked No | 37c | 1,050$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…699abacked Yes | 2c | 1,046$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,029$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Yes | 27c | 1,013$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 76c | 1,007$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.87 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a0…e864backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055e…f94fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…3c25backed Yes | 2c | 986.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…7217backed Yes | 18c | 952.6$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 19c | 928.23$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.23 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa680…c13fbacked Yes | 60c | 923$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e1…4443backed No | 77c | 913.87$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…6e67backed No | 72c | 880$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1449…107abacked No | 71c | 810$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 2c | 799.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed Yes | 32c | 789.95$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +793.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked No | 77c | 775.86$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked Yes | 10c | 762.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 66c | 749.52$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 9c | 745.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 742.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +247.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…45e3backed Yes | 23c | 740.97$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 727.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7d…3facbacked Yes | 51c | 716.31$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…844fbacked No | 76c | 702.95$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…efb1backed Yes | 18c | 700$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2898…55b7backed Yes | 15c | 681.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…1619backed Yes | 27c | 667.36$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 6c | 643.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +81%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…69edbacked Yes | 35c | 635$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…6be5backed Yes | 20c | 616.91$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…c745backed Yes | 47c | 610.24$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 34c | 602.27$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…0ecdbacked Yes | 35c | 589.84$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…0c57backed No | 16c | 586$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +225.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c6…09a2backed Yes | 24c | 581.11$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…9bf5backed No | 53c | 569.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 25c | 569$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.63 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked No | 37c | 551$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc0…fab9backed Yes | 22c | 547$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb255…2ecbbacked Yes | 19c | 545.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 17c | 534.77$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.26 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…1dadbacked Yes | 2c | 529.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 5c | 527.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +698%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…10ddbacked Yes | 13c | 526.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150d…8149backed Yes | 65c | 517.88$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…c29ebacked Yes | 40c | 505.65$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c2…12e7backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked No | 65c | 499$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe71…c166backed Yes | 17c | 496.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…3ceabacked Yes | 60c | 494$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 79c | 489.38$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Yes | 35c | 483.82$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 21c | 440$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 17c | 434.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +186.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 30c | 426.2$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…b675backed Yes | 19c | 421.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed No | 15c | 409$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +172%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x665d…5bd3backed No | 25c | 407.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2264…f7bdbacked No | 57c | 406.73$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…f6e9backed No | 58c | 405$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0012…bff8backed Yes | 22c | 402.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?this page
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.