TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8daf…ef60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
330
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Weather, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 59 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$163.36
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.28
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$69
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.83
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+934.5%+$135.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.3
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+126.9%+$450.46
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$148
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$770
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.79
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$243.57
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.67
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$350.48
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$55.88
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,542Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+146.4%+$2,256.91
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT4434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leonardo DiCaprio attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.19
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$786Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$785.8
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,624Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+385.8%+$10,125.49
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$74.55
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Nike be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$310
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,002
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$333.5
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$544.97
Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,038Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66%+$1,344.21
Will the announcers say "History" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$626.4
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$282.04
Will the announcers say "History" during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Nutmegs" or "Meg" during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the announcers say "History" during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will the announcers say "Bayern" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.69
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.7
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$100.2
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.75
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+162.6%+$185.74
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.1
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,444Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$498.32
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.1
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$230.5
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$634.44
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+1,595.5%+$624.64
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+421.5%+$177.26
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$95.5
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.27
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.39
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$174.29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$945
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.59
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$370.21
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.18
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Aix en Provence: Martin Landaluce vs Ethan Quinnbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.82
Mauthausen: Miguel Damas vs Mika Brunoldbacked Miguel Damas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$117.08
Ostrava: Zdenek Kolar vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Jonas Forejtek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.99
Rome: Dalibor Svrcina vs Cezar Cretubacked Cezar Cretu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Shymkent: Sergey Fomin vs Max Wiskandtbacked Max Wiskandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Gwangju: Hyeon Chung vs Clement Chidekhbacked Hyeon Chung · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$673.79
Madrid Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Royerbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.17
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cinabacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
Madrid Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$690
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.72
Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+58.7%+$22.2
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+31.7%+$27.29
Rolex Paris Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Reilly Opelkabacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$62.56
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 21 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+42.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$160.81
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+110.7%+$57.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$56.12
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.49
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$53.47
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$15.01
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.34
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$14.85
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.04
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.55
All 17 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+165.5%+$155.41
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,623Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$1,040.46
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.86
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$657.6
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$148
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$84
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$343.82
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+305.4%+$180.8
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.5
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.84
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$151.51
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+25%+$50
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$16.49
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$166.31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$724.29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.65
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.85
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.84
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,479.21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$54.4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of April 27 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of April 27 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+183%+$898.53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of April 20 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$301.26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of April 20 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$1,043.81
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$159.26
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.44
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+34.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$183.48
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.99
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.05
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$175
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs against All authority (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked against All authority · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.62
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$179.97
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$119.19
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$297
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$130
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$171.68
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.04
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$960
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.52
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$70.94
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
LoL: Shifters vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$65.07
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.31
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$49.4
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.47
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$65.14
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.8
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.21
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.06
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.09
Will David Trone be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.9
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$105.91
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$530.75
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-63%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.3
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.8
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$47.85
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.88
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.27
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.24
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$206
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$42
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-70.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-79.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+119.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-52.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.43
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Bologna FC 1909 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.12
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$632.56
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$671.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$135.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+124.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$934Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$1,166
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+52.9%+$41.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$40.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,526Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,526.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.