TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,279
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,279 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x97ea…3363backed Yes31c952.42$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.664738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No69c520$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4423357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No70c427.31$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2448961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No73c353.31$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5651250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb81f…394dbacked Yes29c346.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes26c226.68$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9424037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes7c198.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9680225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No74c145.53$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8445736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1811…913bbacked No72c145.42$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.315658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes32c126$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3226037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes27c121.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7576445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes30c107$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5966239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3655044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85ee…a64abacked No71c97$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.675168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+57.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No71c96$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8417138%65 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed Yes29c82.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.936940.6%28 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed No64c70$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.254450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed No72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Yes28c66.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.818253.7%44 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed Yes31c64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.848218.3%15 W · 67 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f26…93bcbacked No74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8daf…ef60backed Yes33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1df…309dbacked Yes26c58.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No70c57.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2111256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes29c52.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.072,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5415…2a6ebacked No75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.58366.3%55 W · 28 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No71c49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2113148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c7…806ebacked Yes32c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.233221.9%7 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-35.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb57e…0b91backed No79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.46358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1235958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25036%18 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb87…eb45backed No69c39.92$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2410729.9%32 W · 75 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No74c39.08$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1621944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed No73c37.28$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0711133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13de…fd91backed No73c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.565541.8%23 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No72c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5217652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94ce…edf2backed No72c32.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.235552.7%29 W · 26 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+94.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.442737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x306b…179ebacked No69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.25549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.616646.4%77 W · 89 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.221850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xb431…82ecbacked No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.91952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x997a…4cbebacked No72c19.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.345875.9%44 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No70c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.731520.3%64 W · 251 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d7…c714backed No73c14.12$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.811478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.