TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e8e…8db8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
842
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 65 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT48961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 489 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.1
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.81
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
Will Donald Trump be shown 0-2 times at the World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+230.5%+$26.9
Will Elon Musk attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Kim Kardashian attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will the announcers say "Goal" 75+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$35.3
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.85
Will the announcers say "Appeal" or "Appealed" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,536Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$1,062.1
Will the announcers say "Heavyweight" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$54.9
Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.91
Will the announcers say "Bieber" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$34
Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$147.17
Will the announcers say "Foul" 12+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26%+$71.69
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+238.5%+$625.19
Will "Siir Siir" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$15.77
Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$653.44
Will the announcers say "Giants" or "Jets" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$79.93
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+413.9%+$1,011.59
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.68
Will "Sorry" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Showing 25 of 489 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT5648.2%27 W · 29 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+94.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$45.12
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$119.24
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.14
Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.67
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+4,445.5%+$1,949.48
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$63.69
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+48%+$220.6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,283Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$354.61
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$230.35
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+281.2%+$250.76
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+927.7%+$2,284.73
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,271.57
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$373.6
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$136
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$78.7
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5547.3%26 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+23.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
AI — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+861.3%+$785.56
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+192.2%+$112.8
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.9
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$19.44
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$58.92
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$21.83
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$55.32
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$16.5
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$780
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.38
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,164.62
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.07
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.62
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.2
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+36%+$23.18
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+213%+$888.21
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.04
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+133.7%+$175.54
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.62
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.23
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT5054%27 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Lost Weekend" - Phoebe Bridgers first week album sales be between 75k and 90k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.96
Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will "No Me Arrepiento de Sentir Tanto" - KAROL G first week album sales be between 50k and 60k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$7.06
Will "This & That" - Stray Kids first week album sales be 360k or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Will "This & That" - Stray Kids first week album sales be between 320k and 360k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$150.54
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.33
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+191.6%+$160.22
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,811Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+112.7%+$2,041.56
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$438.3
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.16
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 3 weeks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Will "Iceman - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$21
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 1 week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.36
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 200k and 225k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+122.8%+$617.18
Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 225k and 250k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$150.43
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$76.98
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.04
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Will "LeBron" or "Bronny" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.43
Will "Trump" or "Obama" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$58
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.35
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4663%29 W · 17 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Movies — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Magic Faraway Tree" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+204.9%+$26.77
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.98
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.93
Will "Mutiny" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will a trailer for Avengers: Doomsday premiere at SDCC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$29.25
Will a trailer for Marvel's Wolverine premiere at SDCC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$48.4
Will Jon Bernthal or Tom Holland say "Wedding" on Hot Ones?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.83
Will Jon Bernthal or Tom Holland say "World Cup" on Hot Ones?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.58
Will Jon Bernthal or Tom Holland say "Odyssey" on Hot Ones?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$10.5
Will "Wakanda" be said during the next Avengers: Doomsday trailer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.16
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$104.1
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.29
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
Will anyone say "Clone" during Rick and Morty E5 S9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.13
Will "Spider" be said 4+ times during the next Spider-Man trailer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$32.57
Will "Peter" be said 3+ times during the next Spider-Man trailer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$19.21
Will anyone say "Robot" or "Bot" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+230.4%+$184.8
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.63
Will "Hottest" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$356.33
Will "Dream Big" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$136.36
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.31
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$152
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.06
Will FalleN win a S-Tier event before June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.8
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$81.46
Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$213.82
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.82
Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Will G2 reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
Will PARIVISION reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Will Vitality drop from #1 in the VRS rankings by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$82.49
Will BIG qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.21
Will B8 qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+129.3%+$131.75
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Legacy qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$6.61
Will Monte qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+144.7%+$82.64
Will BetBoom qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.42
Will 9z qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$164.99
Will MIBR qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+44%+$27.8
Will Astralis reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
Will Astralis qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$153.24
Will GamerLegion reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will GamerLegion qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.07
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$79.56
Will BIG qualify to Stage 2 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.62
Will FlyQuest qualify to Stage 2 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Will TYLOO qualify to Stage 2 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 25 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST2157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+49.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Low-IQ" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$29.44
Will Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$52.05
Will Trump and Machado handshake last 6–10 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+28.5%+$100.5
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+913.6%+$770.65
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+49.8%+$54.7
Will Trump say "Sean" or "Hannity" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+59.6%+$72.38
Will Trump say "Helicopter" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+44.9%+$58.6
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+82.8%+$274.23
Will Trump say "Ass" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+107.7%+$52.16
Will Trump say "Mental institution" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.06
Will Trump say "Sanction" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+143.9%+$70.77
Will Trump say "Invest" or "Investment" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$96.69
Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Dictator" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$62.86
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.9
Will Donald Trump say "F-35" or "drone" or "helicopter" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+90.7%+$64.75
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+351.9%+$789.38
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$476.19
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$90.44
Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.79
Will Trump say "Happy New Year" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+35%+$66.42
Will Trump say "ISIS" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+35.2%+$83.4
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+37%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$319.97
Will the announcers say "Guillotine" during McGregor vs Holloway?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.37
Will the announcers say "Submission" during McGregor vs Holloway?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+400%+$65.6
Will the announcers say "Khabib" or "Oliveira" during McGregor vs Holloway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.37
Will Trump say "Greatest" during UFC 250?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+179.3%+$310.64
Will Trump say "Fake News" during UFC 250?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27
UFC Freedom 250: Weather Delay?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Adam Sandler attend UFC Freedom 250?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.98
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gilbert Burns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.23
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Kyler Phillips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.08
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jai Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$93
UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Thiago Moises · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will the announcers say "White House" or "Trump" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$182.85
Will the announcers say "Holloway" or "Oliveira" 15+ times during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
Will the announcers say "Eye poke" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245
Will the announcers say "Knockout" or "Knock Out" or "Knocked Out" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.72
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$33
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
UFC 326: Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Rafael Tobias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+52%+$34.07
Will Trump accuse Iran of election interference by July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$66.14
Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+339.7%+$92.21
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$46.31
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$209.03
Will Donald Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+112.8%+$21.2
Will Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+71.3%+$161.85
Will Donald Trump say "Biden's war" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+50%+$214.78
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+76.5%+$26
Will Donald Trump say "Kiev" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+150%+$121.64
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.59
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$174.99
Will Donald Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$78.4
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$537.84
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$226.24
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$152.21
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.13
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.3
Will Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.55
Will Hillary's remarks not air?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Trump blames Biden for Iran-Israel escalation by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+100%+$35
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$156.16
Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+162.1%+$201.53
Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$61.59
Will Super Bowl LX have between 132M and 136M viewers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25.1
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$266.89
Will Hyundai run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+41.9%+$98.9
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,895Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+80.5%+$1,525.05
Will Green Day perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.9%+$68.09
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+55.7%+$248.38
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.91
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+205.7%+$97.56
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.62
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$128.75
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$27.13
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.53
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,437Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$939.61
Will Jaxson Dart attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$84.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Earningslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+61.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.62
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$306.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+726.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Affordability" during NYC rally?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+726.4%+$107.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Tyra Caterina Grant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cloud9 make a roster change before Septemeber?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.