Venezuela · resolved market
Will Trump and Machado handshake last 6–10 seconds?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6015f9744a4407ba1341af029a23efeb5978760e394797601b4d18e6cf0aaaf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51e3…24ffbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 1c | 2,148$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…c276backed Yes | 2c | 726.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 3c | 694.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ef…be38backed No | 74c | 612.69$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 14c | 600$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3b…4802backed Yes | 2c | 517.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17dc…410abacked Yes | 3c | 462.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 78c | 452.98$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…cec7backed Yes | 20c | 399.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 78c | 332.08$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…f4c6backed Yes | 9c | 331.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…c57fbacked Yes | 25c | 276$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 16c | 273.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 270.66$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…0b26backed Yes | 8c | 258.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51bf…9205backed Yes | 22c | 227.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…4e57backed Yes | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2351…41c1backed Yes | 23c | 215.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989f…0af2backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…afc6backed Yes | 25c | 179.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 76c | 177.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ab…3ba1backed Yes | 24c | 165.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 79c | 165.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 20c | 137.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64e…3c0abacked Yes | 23c | 126$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked No | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d0…a111backed Yes | 23c | 116.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b6…9b6cbacked Yes | 26c | 114.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…c5c8backed Yes | 22c | 113.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…b71ebacked Yes | 10c | 102.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…ab9bbacked Yes | 24c | 100.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…8bc9backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fd…03babacked Yes | 23c | 88.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2407…7dcabacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 22c | 83.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…8df6backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…46eebacked Yes | 26c | 77.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…8818backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…8db9backed Yes | 26c | 76.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…93b2backed Yes | 24c | 62.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 19c | 61.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 50.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -87%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2b…37e2backed Yes | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…689bbacked Yes | 40c | 37.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 77c | 28.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x029c…5137backed No | 75c | 28.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…1d49backed No | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec1…f87dbacked No | 77c | 24.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 124 | 25.8%32 W · 92 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 74c | 20.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed No | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9b…572ebacked No | 80c | 13.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last 6–10 seconds?this page
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last 10–15 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last 15 seconds or longer?No won
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last 2–6 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Machado handshake last less than 2 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?Yes won
- Will Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.