TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2387…abe1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$21.88
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.41
Will "It Was Just an Accident" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+69.3%+$20.69
Will "The Secret Agent" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$188.79
Will Sinners win Best Original Score – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.47
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.72
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.49
Will Hamnet win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$38.83
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+100%+$45.55
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I'd Kick You) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.82
Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+91.1%+$22.88
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+46.6%+$23.26
Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$26.07
Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.49
Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
Will Benicio Del Toro (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Will Stellan Skarsgard (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.23
Will Amy Madigan (Weapons) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$46.8
All 23 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dick Durbin vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Susan Collins vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+55.2%+$10.55
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.8%+$20.33
Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.56
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31%+$9.47
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+39.4%+$5.65
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.7%+$10.09
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.8
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+48%+$29.23
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+30.3%+$14.62
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+39.3%+$4.22
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Will more than 10 Senate Democrats vote in favor of the next government funding bill?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$74.4
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.27
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$27.06
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-5.7wins-0.33per pick63cpaid-57.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Super Bowl LX have between 124M and 128M viewers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+67.1%+$11.29
Will the Houston Texans be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 93.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Jake Tonges: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+36.1%+$10.6
Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will the Seattle Seahawks be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 28.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39.2
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Will John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$806.04
Lions vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$300.56
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$293.16
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Appeal" or "Appealed" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the announcers say "Heavyweight" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.36
Will the announcers say "Bieber" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.56
Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$23.5
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.64
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will the announcers say "Penalty Kick" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+131.7%+$13.2
Will the announcers say "What a Strike" or "What a Finish" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Will the announcers say "Tom Cruise" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will the announcers say "Maradona" or "Pelé" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the announcers say "Own Goal" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31%+$16.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+194.1%+$26.39
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16.13
Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+126.2%+$21.44
Will Trump say "Armada" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23.88
Will Trump say "Israel" 13+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$29.58
Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$34.47
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$27.69
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+150%+$23.99
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.4%+$16.66
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$360
Giants vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+100%+$355
Orioles vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+86%+$343.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-52.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$335
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$294.19
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buffalo State vs. Libertybacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$814Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+47.1%+$382.93
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked San José State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$534.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baylor vs. Mississippi Statebacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$416.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$43.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $700M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.