AI · resolved market
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd58397aaa873f5f8e7e5c07d11baa79204ca4e8327cbf3d9b2813d9285dc4ab1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 4c | 1,740$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c9…47c1backed Yes | 26c | 1,426$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 33cpaid | +117%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…3d05backed Yes | 26c | 1,268$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 2c | 929.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked Yes | 26c | 909$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.34 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked Yes | 25c | 872$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 33c | 814$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.62 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…dd5fbacked No | 74c | 811$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c19…77cdbacked No | 74c | 805$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…e046backed Yes | 32c | 785$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…ccecbacked Yes | 33c | 783$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd80d…b42bbacked No | 74c | 734$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 33c | 692$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.36 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…9ed1backed No | 68c | 678$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…aeb8backed Yes | 11c | 678$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed Yes | 26c | 656$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…cd36backed No | 74c | 634$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.84 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…019dbacked No | 75c | 624$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…c0e6backed No | 79c | 609.35$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3087…f8fbbacked No | 74c | 534$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked No | 67c | 520$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 3c | 516$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…50c0backed Yes | 26c | 507$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…9ae0backed No | 76c | 503$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.77 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +50%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…0137backed No | 74c | 460$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 27c | 389.04$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed Yes | 26c | 383$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…4674backed No | 74c | 383$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed Yes | 26c | 381$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked No | 74c | 381$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…e1efbacked No | 74c | 373$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed Yes | 26c | 373$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…2238backed Yes | 26c | 371$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed No | 74c | 371$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +47%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 352.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e0…a63bbacked No | 67c | 330$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked No | 67c | 325$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…debabacked No | 67c | 309$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…81c0backed Yes | 12c | 294$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…ded2backed No | 74c | 285$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked No | 75c | 279$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6537…fcecbacked Yes | 25c | 279$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked No | 74c | 274$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 19c | 238$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…85cdbacked No | 75c | 210$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed No | 71c | 196.14$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…36b2backed No | 67c | 187$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…cc24backed No | 67c | 172$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 162.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 11c | 157.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed Yes | 11c | 147$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…2d8abacked No | 67c | 144$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.42per pick | 57cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 15c | 125.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed No | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 9c | 120$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…35e5backed No | 71c | 108.45$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked No | 68c | 107$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed No | 74c | 98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked No | 74c | 73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed No | 74c | 58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed No | 70c | 55.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 31c | 44.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…f038backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…6beabacked No | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da6…867fbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed No | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?this page
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.80 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.25 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.35 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?Yes won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?Yes won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.60 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.80 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.