TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7fd…a3e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$366.32
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.72
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$136.62
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$516.11
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.92
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$136.53
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$135.05
Will "Sinners" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$780.1
Will Train Dreams win Best Feature at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$28.08
Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$92.93
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$244.77
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$68.04
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$177.84
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$94.07
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$714.21
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$471.68
Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$422.73
Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+75.4%+$105.78
All 19 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.2
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.48
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$196.68
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.24
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.44
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$76.95
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$159.34
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+284.6%+$179.82
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.5
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.58
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+300%+$190.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+72.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+350.5%+$187.5
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$75.68
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$20.14
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.44
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$325.8
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$521.29
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.6
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.2
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$164.08
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$695.06
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$111.02
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.5%+$194.14
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-68.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.73
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.42
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$614.88
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$169.09
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.49
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$215.52
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$319.5
Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$179.08
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$33.15
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$72.98
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$76.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-46%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.32
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.14
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$47.25
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$747.52
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.97
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.49
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+302.6%+$227.73
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.58
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$170.56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$49.77
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers (W)backed Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$119.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$310.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?backed Even · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$260.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$922Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$275.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$948Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$252
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25%+$54.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$62.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyron Woodley win his boxing match against Anderson Silva?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$217.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$276.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.