Middle East · resolved market
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fe18d2b6303ee3a7e406aab679dbc0b0f7504dc6b477a31c69c6ffb04e9e11c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,047,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $984,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,047,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked No | 76c | 47,476$35,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,577 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 20c | 38,936$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950.4 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…03abbacked Yes | 51c | 37,293$19,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,019.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…43cfbacked Yes | 11c | 13,308$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 16cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 14c | 12,804$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,009.13 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…79b3backed Yes | 42c | 12,452$5,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,190.71 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 18c | 11,193$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.37 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 22c | 10,936$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.56 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…11c5backed Yes | 19c | 10,801$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.47 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…f341backed No | 65c | 10,616$6,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,737.77 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 37c | 10,271$3,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,486.21 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…bceabacked No | 49c | 10,100$4,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…d0e1backed No | 49c | 10,093$4,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,147.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes | 40c | 9,773$3,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,941.81 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 22c | 9,393$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.26 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b11…e750backed No | 49c | 8,800$4,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,488 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed No | 18c | 8,457$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,966.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e8…b7b3backed No | 49c | 8,300$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,233 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 34c | 6,114$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.72 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fc…9fd4backed Yes | 33c | 6,006$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.61 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…d5b6backed Yes | 35c | 5,595$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938a…448bbacked Yes | 40c | 5,228$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…6669backed Yes | 39c | 5,227$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.58 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 68c | 4,838$3,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.53 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 60c | 4,341$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.66 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 4,307$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.56 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 32c | 4,044$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.52 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 26c | 3,842$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.85 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…d447backed Yes | 40c | 3,758$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe48…a8d4backed Yes | 20c | 3,622$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 67c | 3,600$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.99 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…c236backed Yes | 15c | 3,577$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.76 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…21cbbacked Yes | 23c | 3,488$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.71 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 24c | 3,352$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 3,280$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.78 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45bd…af96backed Yes | 4c | 3,238$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 32c | 3,238$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 37c | 3,139$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.48 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…133cbacked Yes | 10c | 3,121$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d02…7ff4backed Yes | 24c | 3,043$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed Yes | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 26c | 2,917$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.43 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 69c | 2,885$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.32 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 8c | 2,823$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.6 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 22c | 2,817$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.2 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…2f95backed No | 17c | 2,651$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.01 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0322…d688backed Yes | 39c | 2,584$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 33c | 2,546$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.58 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 45c | 2,538$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.24 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d6…50c7backed No | 14c | 2,473$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…f147backed Yes | 22c | 2,423$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.47 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x600c…908bbacked No | 74c | 2,381$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b5…4c72backed Yes | 10c | 2,353$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +10.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa85d…faeabacked Yes | 11c | 2,346$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 27c | 2,204$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.49 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 63c | 2,110$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.37 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3684…9669backed Yes | 66c | 2,022$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.68 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a9…7311backed Yes | 27c | 2,005$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.44 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…2f43backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.98 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed No | 37c | 1,974$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.82 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4f…831ebacked No | 77c | 1,943$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.79 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 74cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…c04fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,937$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2adb…da11backed Yes | 52c | 1,912$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee34…5cfdbacked Yes | 33c | 1,879$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked No | 37c | 1,835$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.41 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed No | 16c | 1,803$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.3 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…9416backed Yes | 75c | 1,796$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 9c | 1,779$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.83 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 9c | 1,764$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.22 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,666$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 1,613$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x770d…29c7backed Yes | 27c | 1,605$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 71c | 1,604$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.69 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed No | 65c | 1,588$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.75 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2432…3ef5backed Yes | 32c | 1,576$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,574$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed Yes | 56c | 1,550$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d5…d1bbbacked Yes | 13c | 1,544$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.42 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +148%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f3…b4cebacked Yes | 53c | 1,518$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,511$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.58 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f1…e4e7backed Yes | 34c | 1,508$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77a…672cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,504$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed No | 71c | 1,500$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.99 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked Yes | 25c | 1,461$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.29 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…fb93backed Yes | 25c | 1,452$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.41 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked No | 74c | 1,450$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.6 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbebe…72e1backed No | 66c | 1,448$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.69 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…1d35backed Yes | 20c | 1,431$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.35 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…4f7bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,430$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed Yes | 62c | 1,428$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.6 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 43c | 1,420$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.59 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…113ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,393$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 58c | 1,382$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.92 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6813…39e6backed No | 40c | 1,374$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…9c23backed No | 79c | 1,372$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.75 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed No | 74c | 1,365$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.86 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 72c | 1,353$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.33 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked Yes | 62c | 1,347$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,337$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?this page
- Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?No won
- Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?No won
- Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?No won
- Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.