Middle East · resolved market
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7dfd4e3da4055435f1db97db441391729df4a9e4b41b5f6d0212fc490eb5445
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 68c | 9,577$6,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,512.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 41c | 7,602$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,456.38 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 72c | 5,851$4,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,191.1 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 24c | 5,143$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.11 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…7489backed No | 50c | 4,002$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.42 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 25c | 3,668$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.98 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…60b5backed No | 31c | 3,200$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…21cbbacked Yes | 7c | 3,000$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed No | 26c | 2,808$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.02 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…3880backed Yes | 15c | 2,648$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.16 | 133 | 21.8%29 W · 104 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…85cdbacked Yes | 25c | 2,642$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 79c | 2,222$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.38 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…f341backed No | 27c | 2,187$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.29 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,019$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.8 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 5c | 1,887$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.33 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 22c | 1,874$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…7145backed Yes | 75c | 1,831$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.33 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…33ebbacked No | 29c | 1,821$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.23 | 110 | 16.4%18 W · 92 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…02c0backed No | 75c | 1,795$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec20…7c9bbacked No | 36c | 1,744$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.96 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c2…0e25backed Yes | 18c | 1,715$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d35…7e6ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,593$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 69c | 1,500$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…0e5fbacked No | 38c | 1,422$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.59 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 38c | 1,405$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.89 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 14c | 1,396$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.49 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…4375backed Yes | 7c | 1,370$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 24c | 1,354$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.31 | 202 | 43.1%87 W · 115 L | +30.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 67c | 1,335$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.69 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 64c | 1,285$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.64 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43c9…47c1backed No | 75c | 1,280$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…3b4fbacked No | 30c | 1,275$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.33 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,232$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 1,229$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.14 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…7a7dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,207$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 27c | 1,113$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.96 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…a8c0backed Yes | 68c | 1,100$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 49c | 1,056$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.39 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6608…35d3backed Yes | 78c | 1,047$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.13 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…42efbacked No | 60c | 1,026$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…459fbacked Yes | 65c | 999.98$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +174.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…d447backed Yes | 61c | 991.14$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f183backed Yes | 26c | 989$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked No | 31c | 973.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.48 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed Yes | 25c | 971$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…f7eabacked Yes | 25c | 933$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +216.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked No | 75c | 856$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 854.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…f215backed Yes | 25c | 824$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked Yes | 28c | 786.65$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…f5a1backed No | 39c | 785.8$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.81 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed No | 27c | 785.12$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.61 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 30c | 785.03$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.31 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 66c | 773.96$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.3 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked No | 36c | 772.69$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.33 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 13c | 768.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.64 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 52c | 762.72$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.1 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 76c | 761.69$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.2 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 32c | 756.71$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.66 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 80c | 749.99$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…b976backed No | 20c | 748.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 28c | 747.26$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.54 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…a90bbacked No | 27c | 733.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 33c | 721.39$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.52 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72de…a5edbacked Yes | 14c | 721$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 50c | 720.57$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.11 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 14c | 714.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 43c | 713.45$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.45 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…724abacked Yes | 28c | 707.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +170.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…0a05backed No | 40c | 704.68$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.35 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 56c | 646.29$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.89 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…2f5cbacked Yes | 4c | 644.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 7.5%5 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed No | 75c | 616$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c2…1be5backed No | 74c | 582$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b8…9ee0backed Yes | 51c | 578.6$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.52 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…e14cbacked Yes | 12c | 574.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 53c | 565.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.59 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…1a1dbacked Yes | 9c | 562.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75be…9a9ebacked No | 73c | 543.39$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 16c | 531.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.8 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed No | 37c | 526.94$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.7 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed Yes | 40c | 524$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b0…4cf2backed No | 37c | 523.97$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 72c | 523.32$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.67 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked No | 34c | 519.96$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.71 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x268b…4890backed Yes | 19c | 517.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked No | 75c | 506$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed Yes | 40c | 502$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd27…2807backed No | 16c | 500$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed No | 79c | 500$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 22c | 493.42$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.84 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…2c7ebacked No | 20c | 490.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…7d90backed Yes | 31c | 477.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 7c | 470.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…ee8abacked Yes | 79c | 467.85$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.88 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 60c | 466.47$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.63 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?this page
- Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?No won
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No won
- Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?No won
- Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.