Middle East · resolved market
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35aa9df78e99b9edbc77d1448d4548396073064f923591d8cb8cc9cf5c22e7f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $689,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $667,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $689,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb39…ee8abacked Yes | 40c | 15,416$6,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,143.03 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b1…d3c9backed No | 73c | 13,457$9,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.46 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…2b0fbacked No | 58c | 10,000$5,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.29 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 42c | 9,749$4,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,094.46 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +73%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 21c | 9,645$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.13 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d4…7a70backed Yes | 40c | 8,094$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,236.78 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…e34bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,800$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 37c | 6,659$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,176.08 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 14c | 6,308$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.1 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa268…d60bbacked Yes | 69c | 6,043$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.98 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 36c | 5,949$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798.01 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed No | 74c | 5,174$3,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.26 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 39c | 5,076$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.06 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 33c | 5,047$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.19 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…3880backed Yes | 74c | 4,329$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.14 | 133 | 21.8%29 W · 104 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 55c | 4,211$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.94 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 28c | 4,200$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.75 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 58c | 4,167$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.91 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…b48fbacked Yes | 53c | 4,133$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bea…6129backed Yes | 61c | 4,085$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86cf…592dbacked No | 76c | 3,958$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 43c | 3,949$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.19 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…9d46backed No | 74c | 3,949$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…5488backed Yes | 44c | 3,915$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…1a1dbacked Yes | 55c | 3,770$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.1 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed No | 48c | 3,757$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.44 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,682$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…10e2backed Yes | 66c | 3,487$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…f67abacked Yes | 55c | 3,247$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.24 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e17…5aacbacked No | 47c | 2,713$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.01 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.40per pick | 37cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 65c | 2,658$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.74 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…ffbebacked No | 46c | 2,602$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.02 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed No | 69c | 2,578$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.25 | 194 | 49.5%96 W · 98 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…53f5backed Yes | 13c | 2,500$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 47c | 2,463$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.28 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 17c | 2,441$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.91 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed No | 62c | 2,427$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.23 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 23c | 2,356$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.28 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fad…f5c0backed No | 43c | 2,336$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.55 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +9.1wins | +0.25per pick | 36cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…2f95backed No | 31c | 2,321$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.73 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ad…8e53backed No | 46c | 2,279$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +173%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,211$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.33 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 58c | 2,175$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.37 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 27c | 2,114$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.78 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed Yes | 12c | 2,100$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 1c | 2,069$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 45c | 2,051$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.43 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6d…9f36backed No | 63c | 2,024$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.07 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed No | 72c | 1,998$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.56 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed No | 75c | 1,992$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.11 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 38c | 1,986$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.46 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 58c | 1,913$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.34 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 77c | 1,904$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.17 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 46c | 1,833$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.68 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…7145backed Yes | 52c | 1,800$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…46eebacked No | 74c | 1,751$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,750$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…a432backed Yes | 25c | 1,710$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf86e…c39bbacked No | 42c | 1,688$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31f7…1989backed Yes | 28c | 1,654$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 63c | 1,589$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.33 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…457ebacked No | 66c | 1,574$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…6834backed Yes | 62c | 1,569$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.53 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…b2cabacked Yes | 35c | 1,557$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…a517backed Yes | 18c | 1,555$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…5bbabacked No | 57c | 1,539$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 37c | 1,519$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.11 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…26afbacked No | 33c | 1,506$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.74 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed No | 39c | 1,499$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.89 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…725fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,498$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -80%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 66c | 1,480$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.27 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes | 60c | 1,477$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.92 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 63c | 1,469$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.75 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed Yes | 30c | 1,446$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…4554backed No | 49c | 1,424$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.54 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde13…2310backed Yes | 35c | 1,420$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 36c | 1,377$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.72 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 54c | 1,375$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.16 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…c0ddbacked No | 22c | 1,347$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…3b3ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,336$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e0ecbacked No | 62c | 1,314$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.32 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c03ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,310$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Yes | 69c | 1,306$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.8 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…bf45backed No | 61c | 1,300$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 38c | 1,281$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.74 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…4672backed Yes | 8c | 1,273$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c2…2c79backed No | 47c | 1,266$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…9b65backed Yes | 31c | 1,257$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 75c | 1,253$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.79 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 44c | 1,241$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.19 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…90dfbacked No | 69c | 1,229$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…4546backed No | 41c | 1,220$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.9 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…ac4cbacked No | 64c | 1,210$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 44c | 1,200$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.72 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b4…4d69backed Yes | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed No | 70c | 1,171$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ff…6632backed No | 64c | 1,168$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.1 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 67c | 1,164$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.86 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,159$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.87 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…2b9fbacked Yes | 61c | 1,142$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.65 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?this page
- Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?No won
- Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?No won
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No won
- Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.