TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf92a…9134

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Movies, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 63 out of 100; worst IPO at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$333
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$130.24
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.5
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,493Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$499.11
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.8
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$98.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.29
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$167.61
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+300%+$122.25
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$559.26
Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$169.65
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$132.6
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.6
Will the US not strike Iran by April 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$197.16
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+614.3%+$205.54
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$105.28
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+170.3%+$58.59
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$299.78
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.56
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+61.3%+$158.84
Will Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$302.99
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$153.34
Will Trump say "Accords" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$572.76
Will Trump say "Israel" 13+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$322.24
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$36.6
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.36
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.95
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.98
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$389.97
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$118.14
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.65
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$14.45
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.35
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+141.9%+$802.56
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$42.16
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.26
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.5
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.36
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$462.97
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$570.78
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$120.35
Will "Ultra-wide" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$92.92
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$283.42
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+25.2%+$80
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$201.12
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.35 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+525%+$220.08
All 22 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.33per pick38cpaid+133.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+562.3%+$303.94
Will Bruno Sangregório as Levi Ackerman (Attack on Titan: THE LAST ATTACK) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Brazilian Portuguese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.14
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.25
Will Ryan Gosling attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$130.2
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$134.55
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$66.24
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$55.2
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$181.24
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+669.2%+$405.42
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$53.04
Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$57.09
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+334.8%+$233.31
Will "Sentimental Value" win in the Non-English Language Film category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Rich Russo - Super Bowl LIX - Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs win Best Director for Sports at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+376.2%+$220.41
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$35.75
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$173.8
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.12
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.27
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32.16
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.27
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+233.3%+$218.4
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$195.04
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick45cpaid+210.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+116.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-75.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+92.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+66.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.36
Central Arkansas Bears vs. North Alabama Lionsbacked Central Arkansas Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$280.11
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked East Texas A&M Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.23
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$400.53
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+97.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick30cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick33cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$157.92
Will Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$140.07
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$460.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.27
Partizan vs. BC Dubaibacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+162.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffinsbacked Milwaukee Admirals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+162.5%+$447.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$464.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$322.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$59.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$28.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$67.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$176.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Macarthur FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$129.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.