NHL · resolved market
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedbdf38d2d912e6c5cf6eb7f11fc8b95f384e8f087efbad5917324799cc41d6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Admiralsof Milwaukee Admirals, Grand Rapids Griffins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb593…28eabacked Milwaukee Admirals | 75c | 1,595$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa1…15bdbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 1,244$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409a…4e8fbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 1,231$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 66c | 995.8$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.37 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…c0d4backed Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 969$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 956$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…d6f1backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 902$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…d725backed Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 902$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…b2efbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 25c | 900$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…f0abbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 892$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 854$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc94…efd5backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 846$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…edc1backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 762$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 750$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…1b43backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 36c | 739$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 723$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…e61bbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 710$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfe…6108backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 707$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…b42cbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 706$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed Milwaukee Admirals | 64c | 681$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…87bfbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 665$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 75c | 651$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…9184backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 25c | 637$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 633$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 25c | 633$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…afb5backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 25c | 622$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…81a5backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 618$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…6c75backed Milwaukee Admirals | 75c | 609$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…990dbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 25c | 609$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…9b65backed Milwaukee Admirals | 75c | 587$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 575$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 75c | 565$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 553$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…297bbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 25c | 536$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…4ab2backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 442$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 430$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…d620backed Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 416$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Milwaukee Admirals | 35c | 364.46$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.9 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5880…a675backed Milwaukee Admirals | 75c | 335$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 317$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Milwaukee Admirals | 75c | 304$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 65c | 289.57$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Milwaukee Admirals | 33c | 277.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.21 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Milwaukee Admirals | 35c | 181.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.17 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Milwaukee Admirals | 34c | 151.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 25c | 116$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Milwaukee Admirals | 41c | 112.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 35c | 102.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c6…e25ebacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 25c | 94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 34c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Milwaukee Admirals | 34c | 60.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…8adebacked Milwaukee Admirals | 64c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Milwaukee Admirals | 35c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Milwaukee Admirals | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 177 | 65.5%116 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.