TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97d1…b2ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst Movies at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.16
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$368.9
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.4
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.01
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$346.29
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.42
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.59
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.63
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.37
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.99
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.59
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+400%+$583.2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.44
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.08
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$20.88
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+106.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$175.72
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.48
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+300%+$448.5
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.8
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$445.89
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$44.62
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+334.8%+$421.96
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$146.16
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$535.3
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$74.49
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$232.8
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+88.7%+$39.01
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$805.63
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$145.04
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+88.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.34
Canada recession before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$196.47
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$849.39
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.28
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.27
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.1
Will Starmer say "Wireless" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.12
Will Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$536.41
Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.88
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+880.4%+$1,209.61
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+168.8%+$160.77
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 30-34 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.29
Will 'Deadline' - BlackPink debut week album sales be less than 300k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$103.14
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$87.72
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+184.9%+$371.23
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.08
Will "One Battle After Another" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.16
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$516
Will "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.05
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+525%+$651
Will Noah Wyle win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$45.99
Will Erin Doherty win Best Actress in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$95.76
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24.48
Will "Frankenstein" win Best Costume Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34.65
Will "F1" win Best Sound at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.88
Will "Zootropolis 2" win in the Children's & Family Film category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$161.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+70.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$148.48
Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.84
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$282.54
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.96
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$515.84
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$555.8
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$174.72
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+233.3%+$357.7
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 60 and 70?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+233.3%+$399.7
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$176.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+97.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+180.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick45cpaid+137.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+203%+$284.75
Dundee United FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$426.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.77
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebelsbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+513.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+513.5%+$441.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$633.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Agomab Therapeutics NV's market cap be between $700M and $800M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$252.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$170.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$50.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffinsbacked Grand Rapids Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$121.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.