Champions League · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf37e6c00a2e3c94fc9ba247a763116fff3cd6543decca66680b25684cc4186a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88f4…bbabbacked Yes | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 16c | 6,156$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,177.87 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 14c | 1,758$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.72 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 15c | 1,727$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.35 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…02c0backed No | 30c | 1,631$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 14c | 1,599$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.33 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 42c | 1,532$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.19 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 68c | 1,335$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked No | 16c | 1,301$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…afb5backed No | 47c | 1,204$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed No | 15c | 1,055$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +172.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed Yes | 52c | 1,025$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed No | 46c | 978$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…ded2backed No | 47c | 964$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed Yes | 52c | 960$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…7572backed Yes | 53c | 941$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…b46ebacked Yes | 52c | 908$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…6c04backed No | 49c | 899$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…1b7abacked No | 38c | 873$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +90%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed Yes | 53c | 858$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…293ebacked No | 15c | 846.45$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +195.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed Yes | 51c | 839$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +89%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1caebacked No | 47c | 829$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…8e46backed No | 16c | 825$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +373.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked No | 48c | 809$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes | 52c | 803$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…e229backed No | 48c | 787$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 40c | 783.97$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.29 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6813…39e6backed No | 47c | 781$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed Yes | 53c | 779$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed No | 17c | 773$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.82per pick | 19cpaid | +444.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…4bffbacked Yes | 51c | 762$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…15ddbacked No | 15c | 752$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…dd99backed Yes | 43c | 727.04$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.04 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…7f61backed No | 48c | 707$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed Yes | 53c | 704$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes | 53c | 680$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 17c | 660$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.8 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…e6aebacked Yes | 54c | 646$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…bf21backed No | 16c | 584$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 58c | 565.19$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.48 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed Yes | 52c | 560$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed No | 47c | 545$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…6c75backed Yes | 53c | 544$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked Yes | 52c | 539$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…6e0fbacked No | 49c | 538$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…ebdcbacked Yes | 52c | 524$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed No | 48c | 512$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 55c | 510$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.41 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked No | 48c | 507$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…2f7bbacked No | 15c | 489$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +315.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…9b65backed No | 16c | 487$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked Yes | 54c | 486$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7155…d866backed No | 47c | 473$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked No | 48c | 468$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed No | 47c | 444$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6a72backed No | 47c | 437$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 34cpaid | +256.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0a…f8d8backed Yes | 77c | 435$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…42efbacked Yes | 56c | 427$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29f…26b4backed No | 44c | 427$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…c0d4backed Yes | 53c | 414$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed No | 16c | 413$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +155.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…2310backed Yes | 55c | 409$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed No | 15c | 406$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 17c | 393.05$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.21 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 24c | 391$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.48 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed Yes | 52c | 390$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked Yes | 57c | 382$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…28e1backed No | 48c | 379$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked Yes | 53c | 362$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…6c22backed No | 16c | 355$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…28d0backed Yes | 53c | 353$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed No | 46c | 345$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966a…8250backed No | 25c | 340$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed No | 15c | 338$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…1616backed No | 47c | 322$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed No | 16c | 321$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 16cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…9c72backed No | 16c | 313$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked No | 49c | 309$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed No | 50c | 307.14$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed No | 17c | 305$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…2281backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…77bdbacked No | 24c | 297$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes | 53c | 295$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…297bbacked Yes | 54c | 281$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…952abacked No | 16c | 278$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…5729backed No | 24c | 276$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +175%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Yes | 53c | 275$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fb…4f60backed No | 29c | 274$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes | 65c | 268$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 53c | 259$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed No | 47c | 251$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…e7a8backed No | 25c | 251$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed No | 16c | 248$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 15cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…88c8backed No | 48c | 241$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…76adbacked No | 24c | 239$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 54c | 234.44$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 39c | 208$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…db77backed No | 45c | 206$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…bcf0backed No | 45c | 203$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?this page
- Will Ajax advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Arsenal advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Athletic Bilbao advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Barcelona advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayern Munich advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Chelsea advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Copenhagen advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Kairat advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Liverpool advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Manchester City advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Marseille advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Napoli advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Olympiacos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Pafos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Qarabağ advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Slavia Prague advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Sporting CP advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Union Saint-Gilloise advance to the round of 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.