TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5374…952a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Commodities, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$163.02
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.66
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$127.05
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.62
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$230.64
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.78
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.68
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.28
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$84.35
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$432.85
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$115.94
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$299.2
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.48
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.8
Pakistan military action against Kabul by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.65
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.01
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$161.98
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$336
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$281.52
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$147.95
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$52.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$38.54
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.92
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.68
Will "Apple Music" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$610.83
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+270.4%+$412.45
Google Gemini Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+30.4%+$194.16
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$834Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$834.02
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.44
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$33.12
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$14.57
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.78
Will Benicio del Toro win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22.05
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$183.89
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$136.53
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$93.76
Will Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$316.16
Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$112.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick38cpaid+167.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.52
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+525%+$233.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+455.6%+$1,040.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerry Heil win Vidbir 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$250.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Trump Family" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$79.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$309.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$127.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.