Bundesliga · resolved market
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7951a03c7745b2461fa184139cbcc878ce47be8d73b048c4a79881e72986c374
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,411 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 53c | 7,282$3,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,414.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 38c | 2,331$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.88 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 1,955$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.73 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 1,713$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.7 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked Under | 19c | 1,425$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Over | 50c | 1,400$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…44a9backed Over | 61c | 1,302$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.99 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Under | 21c | 1,270$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…952abacked Under | 18c | 1,269$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked Under | 19c | 1,233$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…1f15backed Over | 52c | 1,229$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 79c | 1,218$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.17 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Under | 18c | 1,142$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.77 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed Over | 52c | 1,126$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9464…b4cbbacked Over | 80c | 1,057$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…bd49backed Under | 20c | 1,056$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed Over | 79c | 1,014$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 20c | 1,007$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.24 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked Under | 39c | 987$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked Over | 80c | 952$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed Under | 20c | 946$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed Under | 20c | 940$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Under | 48c | 938$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…13b4backed Over | 80c | 930$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…6741backed Over | 61c | 882$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…b418backed Over | 80c | 863$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Under | 19c | 852$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed Under | 20c | 814$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb890…a592backed Over | 79c | 804$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 46c | 756.88$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.71 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Under | 39c | 755$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Over | 80c | 733$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…78c7backed Under | 18c | 731$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd70e…0ac1backed Over | 79c | 723$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked Under | 20c | 721$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +154.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04f…15babacked Under | 19c | 706$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…eb3abacked Under | 20c | 697$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed Under | 21c | 690$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Under | 39c | 687$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked Under | 21c | 684$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed Under | 20c | 674$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…ad61backed Under | 48c | 672$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed Under | 39c | 663$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Under | 61c | 657.17$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked Under | 21c | 645$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked Over | 52c | 633$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…5f61backed Under | 48c | 633$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed Under | 20c | 627$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed Under | 18c | 627$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 80c | 625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…2bcdbacked Under | 39c | 619$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed Under | 19c | 617$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked Under | 18c | 611$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed Over | 61c | 610$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Over | 80c | 601$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked Over | 80c | 597$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Over | 80c | 584$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Over | 79c | 582$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Over | 52c | 574$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Under | 20c | 571$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +225.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…db83backed Under | 48c | 566$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed Over | 80c | 566$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d8…4c30backed Over | 80c | 560$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8697…4165backed Under | 48c | 560$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…b7c0backed Under | 20c | 556$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed Under | 48c | 545$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 70c | 542.7$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.4 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked Over | 80c | 539$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed Under | 19c | 536$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…0c57backed Over | 52c | 529$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…588ebacked Under | 20c | 525$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Over | 80c | 498$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b1…4336backed Under | 20c | 483$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed Under | 20c | 479$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +214.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…1683backed Under | 18c | 470$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…95debacked Over | 80c | 467$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…dc0bbacked Under | 20c | 467$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 25cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…55cfbacked Under | 20c | 461$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…019dbacked Under | 21c | 461$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed Under | 20c | 460$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 78c | 459.4$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.33 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7155…d866backed Under | 39c | 447$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 49c | 410.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 78c | 400$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Over | 52c | 398$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…fc01backed Over | 80c | 397$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed Under | 18c | 394.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Over | 79c | 394$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked Under | 48c | 388$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed Under | 21c | 367$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…34e0backed Under | 18c | 363$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +258.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Under | 21c | 357$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…4b87backed Over | 79c | 357$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ba…0e6abacked Over | 80c | 338$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…b54dbacked Over | 80c | 320$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Under | 20c | 320$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…1e5dbacked Over | 80c | 320$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…e9dbbacked Over | 80c | 314$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5this page
- Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Hamburger SV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.