TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8e9e…bd49

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Weather at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.15
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$145.08
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.2
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$91.6
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$454.36
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+211.6%+$488.97
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$459.72
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+334.8%+$531.3
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$209.3
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+88.7%+$227.01
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$187
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$352
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$115.2
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$321.6
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.28
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$157.89
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$183
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$81.9
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$992.07
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$400.14
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$244
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$89.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+103.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.51
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$235.32
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$346.14
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.94
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$486
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$181.44
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.28
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$93.46
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$79.92
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$80.64
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.39
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.72
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$126.88
Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.04
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$122
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$115.92
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$91.02
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$277
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.84
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+173%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+128.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$10.54
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+212.5%+$208.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.2
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$239.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.95
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$41.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+437.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+437.6%+$557.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+400%+$844.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$244.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine strike in Russia on 26 November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$84.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly one announced new U.S. armed forces strike against drug boats in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.3%+$156.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$33.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Macarthur FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$215.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. New Haven Chargersbacked New Haven Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.