Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x151f00b091b2e346656190b49c06644920fdba4f1280f7976e7f5f6bdfec7bb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $487,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $483,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 10c | 6,825$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.32 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8b…e094backed Yes | 3c | 3,493$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…1b0ebacked Yes | 7c | 3,452$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…541dbacked Yes | 7c | 3,367$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…f203backed Yes | 10c | 3,209$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec9f…759dbacked Yes | 7c | 3,209$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf36…82b8backed Yes | 3c | 3,134$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…6162backed Yes | 8c | 2,991$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1741…11d9backed Yes | 7c | 2,890$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f3…1f1dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,793$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 12c | 2,791$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.56 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…364bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,717$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…77b2backed Yes | 8c | 2,672$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c57…92fabacked Yes | 8c | 2,613$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f38…74f1backed Yes | 7c | 2,472$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…4bd8backed Yes | 7c | 2,377$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…dabebacked Yes | 3c | 2,370$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41b…6c2cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,294$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…8e2ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,275$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…680fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,259$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…b2b0backed Yes | 3c | 2,245$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…c1dfbacked Yes | 3c | 2,186$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…24eabacked Yes | 3c | 2,039$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…aa84backed Yes | 8c | 1,971$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…b2c2backed Yes | 3c | 1,899$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73fe…a025backed Yes | 3c | 1,882$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…f0adbacked Yes | 3c | 1,872$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…e03dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,800$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea09…6c4cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,771$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e5…b29cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,765$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…ec02backed Yes | 7c | 1,728$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,692$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 104 | 1%1 W · 103 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…1061backed Yes | 7c | 1,665$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1524…8d7bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,665$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334b…910dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,634$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde38…86e9backed Yes | 7c | 1,618$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…7837backed Yes | 8c | 1,611$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3531…8e81backed Yes | 8c | 1,602$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816c…24aebacked Yes | 3c | 1,594$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…b0bfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,593$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…4e03backed Yes | 3c | 1,591$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…1016backed Yes | 3c | 1,524$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…040fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,492$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…7126backed Yes | 8c | 1,462$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b9…00bbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,438$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…1f19backed Yes | 3c | 1,420$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f8…58edbacked Yes | 3c | 1,401$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50a…774ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,362$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797d…21cbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,331$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…f54ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,318$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…2d0dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,316$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5413…f661backed Yes | 8c | 1,310$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…9024backed Yes | 7c | 1,293$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…ebf9backed Yes | 7c | 1,281$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…e64fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,267$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…bb3ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,261$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…77f8backed Yes | 7c | 1,251$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ac…54bbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…773ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,186$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…7280backed Yes | 7c | 1,185$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862c…ace6backed Yes | 8c | 1,167$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…2028backed Yes | 8c | 1,157$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8f…2a02backed Yes | 3c | 1,147$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…1aecbacked Yes | 8c | 1,128$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…e6f2backed Yes | 3c | 1,110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…bb97backed Yes | 8c | 1,106$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e5…5361backed Yes | 8c | 1,089$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c5…9f99backed Yes | 3c | 1,087$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…fed8backed Yes | 8c | 1,066$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…ef28backed Yes | 3c | 1,062$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…2217backed Yes | 7c | 1,057$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…e230backed Yes | 8c | 1,056$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdb…9018backed Yes | 3c | 1,048$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178f…771bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,044$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7f…dbd1backed Yes | 8c | 1,036$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…df59backed Yes | 3c | 1,007$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7667…18b1backed Yes | 8c | 1,001$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…ffbfbacked Yes | 8c | 997$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…c17abacked Yes | 15c | 993$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…af1ebacked Yes | 3c | 987$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…dcacbacked Yes | 3c | 973$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1582…e7d0backed Yes | 8c | 967$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x943a…69fabacked Yes | 8c | 943$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…44d6backed Yes | 3c | 939$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5118…494cbacked Yes | 3c | 935$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed Yes | 13c | 933$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b9…3ed9backed Yes | 8c | 929$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82d…f311backed Yes | 3c | 928$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe68…4cbdbacked Yes | 8c | 898$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…8280backed Yes | 7c | 892$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…6129backed Yes | 8c | 889$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…3aa8backed Yes | 3c | 859$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0697…b25bbacked Yes | 8c | 857$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e1…b73cbacked Yes | 8c | 848$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef09…df14backed Yes | 8c | 844$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed Yes | 15c | 840$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.78 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes | 32c | 823$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…b2d7backed Yes | 8c | 807$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbb…3eb0backed Yes | 8c | 803$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e07…582cbacked Yes | 7c | 800$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?this page
- Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
- Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
- Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Yes won
- Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
- Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
- Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
- Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
- Will Winsome Earle-Sears be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.