Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a5589de888a72e9e1d711a323ceb1794c9135d4f4a2029fe3bb1cb6cad66e22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,852,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,833,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,852,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,065 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2bdb…dd36backed Yes | 10c | 5,575$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…f8c5backed Yes | 10c | 5,428$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…156fbacked Yes | 10c | 5,254$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac7…4cf9backed Yes | 9c | 4,493$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc35…b2d6backed Yes | 7c | 4,304$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c5…5866backed Yes | 14c | 4,292$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb287…347dbacked Yes | 15c | 4,288$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eaa…d1cdbacked Yes | 9c | 4,273$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e9…08b7backed Yes | 15c | 4,228$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2595…47eebacked Yes | 9c | 4,180$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4c…9e10backed Yes | 11c | 4,170$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd7…f51bbacked Yes | 14c | 4,143$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa646…8fe4backed Yes | 14c | 4,141$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…940ebacked Yes | 10c | 4,123$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…f923backed Yes | 14c | 4,113$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d4…2b0ebacked Yes | 11c | 4,082$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf99…f2a1backed Yes | 7c | 4,031$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…c87ebacked Yes | 9c | 4,000$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8a…b1f9backed Yes | 14c | 3,890$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13a…0642backed Yes | 10c | 3,877$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…c0e9backed Yes | 15c | 3,830$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…4dbcbacked Yes | 14c | 3,815$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…4b4cbacked Yes | 10c | 3,764$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdb…8e7abacked Yes | 10c | 3,562$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…37c8backed Yes | 8c | 3,530$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab40…9326backed Yes | 10c | 3,411$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a4…d8ccbacked Yes | 10c | 3,374$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…6adbbacked Yes | 9c | 3,307$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…03c7backed Yes | 9c | 3,294$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…a0febacked Yes | 7c | 3,227$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…004dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,196$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7958…8c65backed Yes | 10c | 3,173$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…12c7backed Yes | 5c | 3,166$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…0d8fbacked Yes | 10c | 3,087$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a2…a620backed Yes | 9c | 3,081$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1609…ed5abacked Yes | 8c | 2,959$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…ee82backed Yes | 10c | 2,945$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…05f4backed Yes | 9c | 2,934$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e0…3ea9backed Yes | 4c | 2,874$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d8…7306backed Yes | 14c | 2,871$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…45e0backed Yes | 8c | 2,852$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…ee62backed Yes | 6c | 2,835$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9721…e7f2backed Yes | 9c | 2,823$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb235…5d12backed Yes | 8c | 2,807$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d30…33c8backed Yes | 10c | 2,790$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…cfd5backed Yes | 16c | 2,715$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…f8dbbacked Yes | 14c | 2,704$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…5a82backed Yes | 9c | 2,704$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…cd2cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,614$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…77a9backed Yes | 10c | 2,611$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…63b0backed Yes | 7c | 2,584$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe14f…f1cfbacked Yes | 10c | 2,532$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedeb…d412backed Yes | 9c | 2,490$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…d42cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,444$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…a18ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,381$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6a…d4abbacked Yes | 4c | 2,355$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf113…c2ebbacked Yes | 10c | 2,329$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…5d63backed Yes | 4c | 2,250$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e8…d7f1backed Yes | 11c | 2,248$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…2239backed Yes | 9c | 2,246$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…637dbacked Yes | 14c | 2,241$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…bb96backed Yes | 14c | 2,241$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…477cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,241$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1acd…406bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,238$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…3f9bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,238$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd575…b0abbacked Yes | 15c | 2,223$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…5a4fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,219$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5118…494cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,219$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 2,176$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.73 | 182 | 3.8%7 W · 175 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe978…488abacked Yes | 13c | 2,171$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2c…7cbdbacked Yes | 13c | 2,171$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…044dbacked Yes | 14c | 2,169$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59e…36acbacked Yes | 13c | 2,163$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…ae4ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,163$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…c9c8backed Yes | 14c | 2,159$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffa…0eb1backed Yes | 14c | 2,159$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…e1f7backed Yes | 9c | 2,159$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ad…0162backed Yes | 9c | 2,152$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1b…e4fbbacked Yes | 15c | 2,147$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…180cbacked Yes | 15c | 2,147$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f8…8e4bbacked Yes | 14c | 2,143$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…b369backed Yes | 14c | 2,143$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…afc5backed Yes | 9c | 2,139$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…6b08backed Yes | 14c | 2,127$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8d…6210backed Yes | 14c | 2,127$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14aa…4b8bbacked Yes | 15c | 2,113$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…7a2ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,108$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9890…1964backed Yes | 15c | 2,108$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49a…c4f4backed Yes | 13c | 2,103$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3855…d532backed Yes | 13c | 2,103$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…343cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,103$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…d7a6backed Yes | 9c | 2,103$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581e…37a4backed Yes | 9c | 2,098$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…5d28backed Yes | 14c | 2,094$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8279…b4b4backed Yes | 14c | 2,094$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…2770backed Yes | 11c | 2,090$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…8004backed Yes | 14c | 2,082$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…314abacked Yes | 9c | 2,063$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfc…611abacked Yes | 10c | 2,053$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…d438backed Yes | 8c | 2,051$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?this page
- Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
- Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Yes won
- Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
- Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
- Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
- Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
- Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
- Will Winsome Earle-Sears be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.