Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x114ba3133f9949f6a34f75caf515b6eb43eecf19a71958fdb0950f4bd94cf10e

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $67,763
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $71,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,763 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2128…f203backed No	11c	8,907$982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$981.95	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed No	7c	6,424$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.6	80	42.5%34 W · 46 L	+6.6wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	75c	1,400$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.81	343	33.5%115 W · 228 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	18c	1,267$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.83	147	29.9%44 W · 103 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	5c	1,194$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.74	315	34%107 W · 208 L	-11.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x850f…5b40backed Yes	39c	957.78$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588.44	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+71.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f9e…4f1abacked No	8c	829.51$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.46	228	33.8%77 W · 151 L	+13.7wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	6c	761.79$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.8	136	25.7%35 W · 101 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-30%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e32…535bbacked No	6c	600$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	11c	595.37$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.32	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cec…de81backed Yes	55c	549.47$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.36	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+83.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes	17c	530.68$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.99	272	22.1%60 W · 212 L	-15.0wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x274e…648cbacked No	7c	471.43$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+10.8wins	+0.22per pick	31cpaid	+87.3%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	18c	463.55$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.41	334	21.9%73 W · 261 L	-23.8wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed Yes	48c	440.63$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.52	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	24c	399.99$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	82	34.1%28 W · 54 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	14c	340.26$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.14	131	43.5%57 W · 74 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes	62c	338.83$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.2	74	37.8%28 W · 46 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe32b…626ebacked No	28c	337.88$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.26	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes	47c	316$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.64	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8373…f0bcbacked No	12c	316$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.92	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No	49c	312.66$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.18	152	32.9%50 W · 102 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a15…d62abacked No	15c	304.32$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5529…e5b9backed Yes	27c	284.29$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.79	229	48.9%112 W · 117 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	21c	275$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.55	125	45.6%57 W · 68 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x705b…7483backed Yes	76c	273.78$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.95	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.18per pick	75cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No	18c	266$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.56	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	21c	253$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.13	102	45.1%46 W · 56 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	59c	221.05$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.76	211	55.9%118 W · 93 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3de…e227backed No	8c	217$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.36	74	25.7%19 W · 55 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No	53c	216$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.27	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x040a…118dbacked No	6c	215.42$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.93	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	7cpaid	+244.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	13c	208.13$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.6	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ca…2443backed No	27c	205$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.35	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked No	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d27…034cbacked No	37c	198.9$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f61…a33bbacked Yes	51c	198.32$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.32	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed No	18c	198$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.66	74	37.8%28 W · 46 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	12c	189.42$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.9	100	48%48 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	24c	184.19$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.72	171	40.4%69 W · 102 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x939f…292ebacked Yes	48c	174.28$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.62	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	11c	166$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.52	109	47.7%52 W · 57 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed No	17c	164.79$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.12	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+9.9wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	60c	143.78$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.28	205	42%86 W · 119 L	-11.4wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x688c…74d0backed No	15c	138$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ac…7119backed Yes	76c	131.97$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.97	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	75cpaid	-34%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	52c	131.53$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.94	341	29.3%100 W · 241 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89a3…70c0backed No	10c	130$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	11cpaid	+78.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa98e…daa3backed Yes	75c	130$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2213…492cbacked No	15c	128.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.67	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15a9…ec4fbacked No	9c	122.22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9129…dd8ebacked No	16c	121$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.08	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Yes	59c	109.25$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.79	33	78.8%26 W · 7 L	+7.1wins	+0.21per pick	57cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x39f8…42cfbacked Yes	72c	104.24$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.19	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No	69c	96.07$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.76	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes	80c	95$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.31	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	70c	94.81$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.66	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3ad5…74b4backed Yes	75c	92.83$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.62	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	73cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No	46c	92.46$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.35	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes	51c	91.54$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.16	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+101.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No	19c	86.2$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.43	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No	16c	85.41$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.05	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	33c	83.81$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	669	14.8%99 W · 570 L	-105.6wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-66%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked No	52c	80$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed No	33c	80$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No	15c	79.06$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.86	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	26c	68.51$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.52	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f7…dd8fbacked No	50c	66.5$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.47	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	48c	66.17$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.41	248	31%77 W · 171 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75f7…7bd9backed No	44c	66$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.04	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c70…2c9abacked Yes	35c	65.18$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.12	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No	42c	59$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.49	98	19.4%19 W · 79 L	-10.3wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e35…a3bdbacked Yes	52c	58$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.84	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f63…2bb3backed Yes	56c	55$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.2	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb719…c1e1backed No	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+85.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ea7…7fc0backed No	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd322…8503backed No	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+22%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba6c…618bbacked No	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-57%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed No	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	88	31.8%28 W · 60 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.82	58	50%29 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb58…ccd0backed No	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8221…22bcbacked Yes	62c	47.61$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.14	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	35c	45.78$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.67	166	32.5%54 W · 112 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a59…d798backed Yes	47c	43$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.79	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4513…5a38backed No	47c	41.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd3…1a5abacked Yes	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.9	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1cd…4a46backed Yes	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	64c	31.96$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.57	121	50.4%61 W · 60 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No	49c	31.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.29	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Yes	67c	29.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.85	82	58.5%48 W · 34 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02aa…3b06backed Yes	57c	28.07$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.07	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1919…1e16backed Yes	50c	27.02$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.51	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	62c	26.6$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No	55c	26.1$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.36	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91a4…d6f5backed Yes	49c	25.09$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.73	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+103%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb87d…6ae1backed No	53c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb477…673ebacked Yes	69c	24.98$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.85	37	73%27 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	70cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?this page
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won
Will Winsome Earle-Sears be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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