TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa667…ceb3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,404
Categories scored
51
Categories below 50
27

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 60 out of 100; worst Tennis at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT18453.8%99 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 184 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.74
Will the announcers say "Foul" 12+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$7.75
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$17.64
Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.23
Will the announcers say "Giants" or "Jets" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.96
Will the announcers say "Tom Cruise" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
Will the announcers say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.63
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$89.76
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.11
Will Uhlsport be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
Will the announcers say "Pressure" 15+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.71
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$28.21
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$62.41
Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$5.72
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.24
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+229.9%+$382.95
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+150.8%+$186.87
Will Dai Dai be the first song performed by Shakira at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.66
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,421.4
Will Dynamite be the first song performed by BTS at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.13
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.17
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
Showing 25 of 184 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT13746%63 W · 74 L-10.5wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 137 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$408.55
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$14.8
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.04
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+215.6%+$78.05
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.73
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.24
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.55
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.06
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.03
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.97
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.19
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$28.57
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.28
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$61.84
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.69
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$282.34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,552Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$2,048.95
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Showing 25 of 137 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10845.4%49 W · 59 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$118.3
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$37.62
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.68
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.98
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$21.66
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$16.01
Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.52
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$38.2
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$4.17
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$12.71
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.45
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$41.45
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.9
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.2
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.32
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.23
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$26.56
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT8757.5%50 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$46.69
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$119.57
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$5.47
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$81.46
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.11
Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.98
Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.73
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+170.5%+$76.22
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.08
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$141.77
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$15.02
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.15
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+307.9%+$263.28
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$100.83
Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 20–25%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.12
Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.66
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.52
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$35.17
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+158.2%+$70.24
Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.35
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+213.4%+$108.72
Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$17.13
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.68
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT7950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+41%+$51.63
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 3 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$8.86
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+87%+$28.9
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$28.99
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+369.1%+$162.87
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+539.9%+$74.59
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$61.79
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.05
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.63
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.49
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$21.14
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.94
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$11.34
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.88
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.56
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$20.64
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$18.57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.79
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$6.23
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$16.92
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+155.6%+$109.35
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT6361.9%39 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.09
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+29%+$19.52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$69.51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$55.68
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$65.04
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.72
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$15.05
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$12.02
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.7
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$41.08
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$10.83
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.46
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$17.44
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$8.44
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.93
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$11.44
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$7.8
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$6.28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.59
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$14.71
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+109.2%+$18.06
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+169.7%+$17.94
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.77
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$44.8
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+155.3%+$352.75
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
NATO downs another Russian drone by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.41
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.59
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.59
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+183.2%+$90.06
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+56%+$62.21
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.15
Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+245.6%+$92.35
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.48
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+121%+$15.01
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$44.72
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.77
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$8.56
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.76
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.77
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.06
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT5855.2%32 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.67
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$5.06
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,323.9%+$4,083.86
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$5.57
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$84.56
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+201.8%+$30.16
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+474.6%+$252.01
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,799Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,798.8
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$49.98
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.99
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.41
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.84
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.94
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.3
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.74
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.97
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.77
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.96
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$744.53
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.44
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$34.29
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.28
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.38
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+139.8%+$28.44
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $40B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.21
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.13
Grok 4.4 released by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$7.94
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+155.1%+$19.69
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.82
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.53
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$119.93
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.82
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$94.05
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$426.32
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.82
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.81
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$26.76
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.94
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT4330.2%13 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+173.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$8.76
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$18.07
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.88
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.97
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.03
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.37
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$895.73
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.76
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.1
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.24
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.63
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.08
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.86
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.54
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.58
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.65
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$824Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$823.82
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.23
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.65
Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT4247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+369.5%+$133.17
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+157.4%+$17.84
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$65.49
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$11.9
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+62%+$67.22
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$21.9
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.71
Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Buffalo Sabres advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.81
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.19
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.02
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.59
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.65
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.89
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.04
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$16.09
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.83
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT4158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.93
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$23.15
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$14.5
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+86%+$14.84
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$418.85
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$466.1
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$23.43
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.08
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.95
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$25.64
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$3.83
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.26
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$11.82
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.74
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.9
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$220.88
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$53.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$137.24
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$73.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.43
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.72
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.51
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.56
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 June 29-July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.97
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.27
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.07
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$7.12
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+200.5%+$169.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,257Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$401.31
Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$17.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.36
Will Solana reach $100 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+159.9%+$121.19
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.69
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$35.52
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$471.42
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.81
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$12.69
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.82
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.97
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$24.97
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.39
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$39.53
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.6
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$21.78
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.06
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$114.02
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.09
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$28.93
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.59
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$9.59
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$13.82
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88%+$100.78
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$26.58
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.22
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+140.1%+$81.1
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$36.67
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$58.44
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$9.55
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+36%+$5.26
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.77
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.7
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.19
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+150.7%+$57.96
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.47
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+178.2%+$230.84
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.54
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$51.17
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.01
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+384.1%+$173.57
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.4
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+142%+$20.53
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.64
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+126.8%+$61
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+140.6%+$137.15
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.36
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+77.9%+$206.47
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.13
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.39
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$32.42
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+163%+$51.41
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+30.4%+$58.65
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.02
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+196.7%+$34.53
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$27.52
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.4%+$11.93
Will the New England Patriots win the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.57
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+207%+$248.14
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.5%+$61.56
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$87.37
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.12
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$77.17
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+29.6%+$39.89
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.01
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.03
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+27.4%+$4.66
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$198.98
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$36.27
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$44.74
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.46
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$39.87
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$46.09
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+73.9%+$11.4
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.39
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$18.89
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$45.33
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$17.38
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+749.5%+$125.81
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+138.6%+$254.22
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.53
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.2
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37.7%+$228.45
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+34.3%+$8.85
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+402.8%+$76.47
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$347.98
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.9%+$14.97
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25%+$7.3
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.2%+$40.63
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+36.8%+$4.06
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+127.4%+$14.64
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.36
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.7%+$7.98
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+75%+$203
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+33%+$20.21
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.96
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.35
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.95
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$18.03
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.06
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.42
All 24 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+44%+$7.74
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$24.15
Will "Liberation" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.47
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.87
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.19
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$7.31
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.04
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$10.84
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.07
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,415Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$461.39
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.71
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+1,668.7%+$172.74
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.54
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$30.5
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.8
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$366.14
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$416.61
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.04
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+32.9%+$23.46
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.84
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$87.17
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$220.49
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+160%+$62.01
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.3
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$46.78
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$52.42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.98
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$30.33
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$23.37
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.68
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.36
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$22.04
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$29.07
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.91
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.81
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$27.06
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.92
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$18.35
Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.03
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$13.03
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$14.79
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+520.6%+$81.21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.5
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.2%+$3.99
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.38
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+68.4%+$804.18
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$326.55
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.97
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.5
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$26.45
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.9%+$4.56
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$23.66
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$63.18
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+64.6%+$47.24
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.2%+$82.54
All 19 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $6.5B and $8B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.23
Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $8B and $9.5B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$44.49
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$21.16
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+140.1%+$98.14
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.32
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.16
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.59
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$114.2
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$111
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+128%+$228.54
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.1
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.04
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.58
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$64.64
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$84.62
All 18 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.06
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.87
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.01
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.46
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.33
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.55
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$15.24
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$42.98
Megaquake by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$3.81
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$10.67
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$79.35
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.99
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.65
2025 September second hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+210.6%+$21.7
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Trent Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+326.9%+$57.7
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.43
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$109.33
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$52.97
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Donte Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.27
UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Manoel Sousa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.4
UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Noah Gugnon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$16.68
UFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Michael Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.27
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$285.31
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.13
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$25.12
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$12.18
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.06
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+160.8%+$32.83
Will T1 win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.62
Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Will G2 Esports win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.41
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.14
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10.66
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$35.39
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30.83
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.12
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$17.83
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+194.1%+$58.16
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25.12
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+38.5%+$8.82
Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.73
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-58.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Tiago Silva vs Rocco Piattibacked Tiago Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$30.91
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Angella Okutoyi vs Laia Petreticbacked Angella Okutoyi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.75
Will Ben Shelton Win ATP Montrealbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.18
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.38
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.87
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.19
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.51
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$14.42
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.4
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.95
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Ben Sheltonbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15.74
Argentina Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.44
Rotterdam Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.1
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$26.18
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Will Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.77
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+95%+$16.84
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.4
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.63
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.39
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will any team beat Vitalitybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.51
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$3.65
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.31
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$27.11
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.81
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.18
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.84
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$3.12
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.31
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.62
All 14 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+35.5%+$25.44
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.76
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$311.28
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35.91
Will Italy win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.75
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.9%+$258.32
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$121.29
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$167.77
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.98
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+25.9%+$14.49
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.74
All 11 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+58.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$4.49
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$20.73
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$13.97
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$10.08
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$70.31
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+190.3%+$127.07
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.86
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.91
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.64
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$16.61
OGC Nice vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.4
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.2
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$34.64
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.96
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.83
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.51
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$14.63
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$7.33
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$8.16
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+83.5%+$45.5
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$130.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+102.1%+$13.53
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+150.7%+$19.45
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.58
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.26
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+212.5%+$41.92
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.63
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$8.82
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.35
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$25.96
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Montana Grizzlies: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30.64
Morehead State Eagles vs. Southeast Missouri State Redhawks: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$29.61
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30.53
Monmouth Hawks vs. Stony Brook Seawolves: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$31.16
Iona Gaels vs. Siena Saints: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$30.94
Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
F1last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid+39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-82.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Boxing — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.32
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$32.42
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$108.41
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.09
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.74
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19.51
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.27
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+37.2%+$15.63
All 8 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stockslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+103.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.15
Will Eastern Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$23.94
Will CA Unión win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$27.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.