MLB · resolved market
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5051e7e7d3a23daed892ed1f6723c375ae0b50a282d2c81cb2faec6c7a7cdf9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $581,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $581,706 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 507 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf083…e3ccbacked Yes | 23c | 65,423$15,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,047.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 21c | 28,717$5,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,982.89 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 76c | 24,309$18,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,946.81 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3338…5550backed No | 77c | 23,358$17,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,372.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 78c | 23,071$17,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,109.48 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8990…091abacked Yes | 19c | 21,484$4,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,048.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…c589backed No | 77c | 21,023$16,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,835.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6354…6e85backed No | 77c | 21,008$16,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,831.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1768…bfe1backed Yes | 24c | 18,223$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,420.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…cddebacked Yes | 18c | 18,046$3,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315.64 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…7954backed Yes | 22c | 11,986$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.81 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 22c | 11,903$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676.37 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 77c | 10,890$8,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.89 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…9fd8backed Yes | 21c | 10,364$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.69 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…4537backed No | 78c | 10,000$7,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…c9fdbacked Yes | 27c | 9,811$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed No | 76c | 9,263$7,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.27 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 76c | 8,772$6,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +214.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed No | 79c | 8,278$6,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67a…9b98backed Yes | 20c | 7,407$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4342…5797backed Yes | 23c | 7,256$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.76 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…ab03backed Yes | 18c | 7,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 78c | 6,563$5,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.77 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed No | 80c | 6,511$5,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.12 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd90…c772backed Yes | 22c | 5,623$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 21c | 5,521$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0579…aa36backed Yes | 22c | 5,482$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…0ab2backed Yes | 25c | 5,428$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed No | 78c | 5,383$4,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.26 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 19c | 5,285$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…0b08backed Yes | 24c | 5,139$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…f757backed No | 77c | 5,110$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…d9e1backed Yes | 16c | 5,102$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…10dcbacked No | 77c | 5,041$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.86 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 4,916$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.07 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ae…5be9backed Yes | 21c | 4,735$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…3d96backed Yes | 21c | 4,628$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.01 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 75c | 4,506$3,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.5 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Yes | 25c | 4,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 76c | 4,400$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc1…39e9backed Yes | 22c | 4,257$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae1…0892backed Yes | 25c | 4,037$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e8…a0bfbacked Yes | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 22c | 3,945$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.43 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +374.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…6840backed Yes | 26c | 3,904$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 16c | 3,871$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.78 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 20c | 3,694$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.01 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…bae5backed Yes | 24c | 3,553$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc148…ca5dbacked Yes | 25c | 3,485$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.69 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be4…f2a5backed Yes | 27c | 3,422$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 3,360$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes | 24c | 3,333$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2358…8986backed Yes | 21c | 3,270$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.96 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Yes | 24c | 3,215$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.9 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 17c | 3,110$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 77c | 3,037$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0571…78bebacked Yes | 23c | 3,035$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Yes | 24c | 3,000$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.44 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…ff98backed Yes | 20c | 2,944$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da7…ca6cbacked No | 76c | 2,814$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eff…67c1backed Yes | 23c | 2,552$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…50e8backed Yes | 21c | 2,548$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked No | 79c | 2,540$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked No | 76c | 2,420$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.1 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…8705backed Yes | 22c | 2,190$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb4…47c2backed No | 77c | 2,164$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…c8ccbacked Yes | 22c | 2,072$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.89 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 24c | 1,978$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.26 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 22c | 1,976$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.49 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b9…521fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,888$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,859$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 75c | 1,824$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.48 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…8db0backed Yes | 27c | 1,821$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a35…941bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,819$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad0…ee96backed Yes | 21c | 1,809$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 77c | 1,765$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.22 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…f77ebacked No | 77c | 1,690$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8622…c179backed Yes | 24c | 1,642$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,593$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bc94backed Yes | 26c | 1,554$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…51f0backed Yes | 20c | 1,545$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dd…fc5abacked Yes | 20c | 1,519$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…3d98backed Yes | 22c | 1,500$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.21 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…5576backed Yes | 23c | 1,497$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe73d…cbf8backed Yes | 24c | 1,484$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Yes | 27c | 1,476$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 19c | 1,450$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.97 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes | 25c | 1,440$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 76c | 1,392$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.86 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…8905backed Yes | 5c | 1,296$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 70c | 1,280$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50af…0222backed Yes | 24c | 1,269$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…9a8abacked No | 76c | 1,255$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.75 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8990…909ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,130$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?this page
- Will Australia win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Chinese Taipei win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Cuba win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Great Britain win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Israel win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Korea win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Nicaragua win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Puerto Rico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
- Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.